John W. O'BrienJul 10
Russ Garrett

An update on how well the International Energy Agency is doing at predicting solar generation growth.

(source: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032125000449)

Jul 9 at 11:24pmWeb
Show threadRuss GarrettJul 9
I call this the "reverse Itanium"
Show threadLinh PhamJul 9
@russss I almost spit out my drink all over my laptop screen. Bravo! 👏🏼 😂
Show threadColin RowatJul 10
@russss un-itanium (with apologies to James Camerium)?
Show threaduisJul 10
@russss very much stonks
Show threadJ. "Henry" WaughJul 10

@russss and just think: despite the current administration, we here in the US still contributed 10 GW of that in the first part of this year

Now *that* is a strong trend!

https://seia.org/research-resources/us-solar-market-insight/

Solar Market Insight Report – SEIA

The Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA) is leading the transformation to a clean energy economy. Learn more at seia.org

SEIA
Show threadGreg BellJul 10
@russss one day they'll finally make a fitting estimate and then the whole world will pause all solar for a year just to F with them
Show threadtinynowJul 10
@russss I'm not sure that graph is about generation.
Show threadReiner JungJul 10
@tinynow @russss the graph is about new installations of PV.
Show threadHibou ChacharaJul 10
@russss or much lobbies undermining the solar capacity and possible momentum for years
Show threadFace ThumbJul 10
@russss "One of these years solar will be the flat graph we want it to be and coal will rule again!🤞"
Show threadEdelruth, PBS Passport HolderJul 13

@chrisp @russss

🤣

Show threadLeon OverweelJul 10
@russss I wonder why the 2023 and 2024 WEOs weren't considered here.
Show threadDaniel KleeblattJul 10
@russss
One day you will find out what exponential curves are.
Show threadLars   Jul 10
@russss Sometimes I think governments are trying to adapt developments to the graph and ignore reality.
Show threadJon ShellJul 13

@russss One of my all-time favourites. I believe that the 2024 WEO has revised their estimates upwards.

Ember has this chart from https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/solar-power-continues-to-surge-in-2024

I recall @chrisnelder talking with one of the WEO contributors about how their methodology was trying to get closer to actuals. Can't get to the transitionshow website to find the show number though.

Show threadChris Nelder 🤘Jul 13
@jonshell @russss Ep. 215 & 242. If you're having trouble accessing our site though I want to know what the issue is...
Show threadJon ShellJul 13
@chrisnelder @russss my mistake. I was using "transitionshow.com" not "energytransitionshow.com". Thanks!
Show threadJon ShellJul 13

@chrisnelder @russss btw just wanted to recognize the absolute banger series you made on Australia.

So many great pieces to that puzzle, just phenomenal how you got the guests to paint the picture of how energy in Australia has changed.

They used to be the worst emitters of CO2 per capita in the world and now they're not even in the top ten. It feels like the guests were aware of that change and had hope.

The work James Brown talked about on Smart Inverter Profiles was amazing!

Show threadChris Nelder 🤘Jul 13
@jonshell @russss Thanks Jon, I'm so glad you thought the Australia miniseries was useful! It was a huge project--our most ambitious to date--and I was happy with the result, but it didn't get much response. So I very much appreciate your kind comments about it.
Show threadEmily_SJul 16

@russss looking at their website and seeing a lot of articles about growth of oil.

"You can't make a man understand something when his paycheck depends on him not understanding it"

Show threadRuss GarrettJul 16
@emily_s I'm led to believe they have recently improved, but historically they've definitely been very biased towards fossil fuels
Show threadEmily_SJul 16
@russss fair, I'm mostly going by the current headline and picture of an oil rig on their home page 😂