@JoBlakely @breadandcircuses Unfortunately moral hazard applies to EVERY green technology. And many other policies.
Politicians will use any excuse to continue burning oil and gas.
Carbon capture and storage? Direct air capture? "Synthetic fuels"? Biofuels? Offsets? Carbon markets? Solar geoengineering?
They'll use any non-existent unreliable or implausibly expensive sci-fi technology to justify continued fossil fuels.
Either because they're in the pocket of the fossil fuel industry, or because they're scared of newspapers who are, or because they need to impress upon some tiny target demographic how they value the great god "GROWTH" over all other considerations and especially over all those environmental protesters and manifesto pledges.
But they'll happily use real technologies too. Rewilding? Tree planting? Even renewables? Everything gets thrown into the offset machine - whether it's actually measured or just an excuse.
Unfortunately at 429ppm and consistently over 1.5C, moral hazard isn't our only consideration.
Temperatures are *already* at dangerous levels, and will increase further even with radical cuts to carbon emissions.
Also, it's not just the climate crisis, it's the climate and biodiversity crisis.
We do in fact need to remove large amounts of carbon from the atmosphere. The best way to do that is rewilding, which requires 1) we stop burning biofuels and 2) we stop eating beef (at a minimum).
And given that there is evidence of positive feedbacks already happening, and tipping points may be very close, it's quite possible that we will in fact need emergency measures such as solar geoengineering.
Also, very small amounts of true synthetic fuels probably are needed, and for a few industrial processes carbon capture is unfortunately the only plausible medium term solution (while in most other areas it makes no sense whatsoever). Degrowth is vital, but technology is also needed.
The difference is of course how we approach this.
Do we use rewilding as an excuse to burn more fossil fuels, whether that's as an offset or merely a political excuse?
Or do we use it to dig ourselves out of an emergency, while simultaneously doing everything possible to rapidly cut carbon emissions, deforestation etc, including socialist degrowth policies?
That's the choice.