“Reform candidates are winning with as little as 25-30% of the votes” – https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2025/05/02/a-six-does-it/comment-page-1/?unapproved=1018542&moderation-hash=23139ad4f48527fb1f18fb38738d2bb2#comment-1018542 - and what of turnout?
In the byelection it was just 46%. Reform won just over a third of less than half the possible votes.
In the Lincolnshire Mayoral election turnout itself was less than a third of the electorate – and Reform won less than half of that third.

Seems to me, the thing about populism is that it’s not very popular. It appears to be popular in the media because the media’s focus is overwhelmingly on vote share and swing – but the real story (as throughout most western democracies) is that most people are disengaging from electoral politics altogether.

The stock market is failing according to the CBI. So why don’t we just let it go?

I posted this on Twitter this morning: https://twitter.com/RichardJMurphy/status/1942861045426516103 My point is serious. The CBI is saying that the situation with regard to the UK stock exchange is getting desperate, because it is losing out to overseas markets and not attracting sufficient business. The question that needs to be asked is, why is that?...

Funding the Future
@GeofCox I'm starting to come around to the compulsory voting idea (not fully there yet), at least it may get rid of these “minority” elections. However, we first need civics to be taught in schools as a compulsory subject.

@rayhindle

I'm really not sure compulsory voting would change much - I don't see much healthier political scenes in countries that have it.

I suspect people are actually already expressing themselves very clearly - by not voting. I just posted my thoughts on the reasons for this: https://climatejustice.social/@GeofCox/114437618905432625

GeofCox (@[email protected])

@[email protected] Yes - I agree with a lot of that. I think the demographics disengaging most are the young and the working-class - the left's natural constituencies - it's this that lets Reform come through with what is really the support of a very small proportion of the electorate. I agree part of the problem is that lots of young and also lots of very hard-pressed working class people feel that no party represents them - Labour because it's obviously doing nothing to change their lot, and the Greens because environmental issues and, I think, identity politics, are perceived as less relevant than pressing economic oppression - unmanageable rents, precarious employment, waiting lists, lack of opportunities for their kids, etc... But it's also the simple fact that voting really doesn't change much - and politicians and the media are always reinforcing this. UK local government really has little power now, partly because powers have been taken away (eg. in education), and partly because national austerity policies have constrained local budgets. But even at national level, the messages coming from both politicians and media are consistently that governments can't do anything much because of 'the markets', 'capital flight'. etc... Politics, the media and commentariat are full of hand-wringing about the rise of the extreme right, and worries about the future of democracy - but at the same time keep telling everybody we're helpless.

Climate Justice Social
@GeofCox There's not a lot of countries with mandatory voting. In the Anglosphere, just Australia, I think? I'd argue that they're doing better than the US or UK.
Preferential voting is probably more important, but mandatory voting helps - it means politicians need to focus on undecided/persuadable voters, rather than focusing on the 'get out the vote' of the people already the most passionate.
@rayhindle
#Voting #GOTV #MandatoryVoting