In fields like AI and policy forecasting, where yesterday’s data might already be irrelevant, non-frequentist models give decision-makers a way to stay responsive in real time, embracing uncertainty rather than pretending they’ve got all the answers.

Read more 👉 https://www.joanwestenberg.com/why-non-frequentist-probabilities-are-gaining-ground/

Why ‘Non-Frequentist Probabilities’ Are Gaining Ground

Probabilities are the skeleton key for every decision worth sweating over, from medicine to finance, guiding “experts” as they stumble through outcomes and uncertainties like drunks in a minefield. For centuries, the frequentist cult has ruled, insisting probability is nothing more than the long-term frequency of an event, like a

Westenberg
@Daojoan Hi Joan, reading your article confirmed my interest in learning more about the Bayesian approach. Do you have article recommendations for a basic understanding for a social scientist? cultural anthropology focuses on the analysis of believe systems, decision making and social practices, are experts for the questions you raise in the article, but use qualitative methods - considering inter subjectivity, embodied history and power relations.