Apple did the research; LLMs cannot do formal reasoning. Results change by as much as 10% if something as basic as the names change.

https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/llms-dont-do-formal-reasoning-and

LLMs don’t do formal reasoning - and that is a HUGE problem

Important new study from Apple

Marcus on AI
@ShadowJonathan Why would we judge LLMs on their ability to solve complex tasks? The interesting thing is if they can solve simple tasks well enough to be useful.

@anderspuck because they're expected to solve complex tasks, they're being sold as if they can solve complex tasks, and that they have a fail and error rate enough that they're not safe

They want these things to drive cars and make decisions that involve human lives.

@ShadowJonathan @anderspuck Not to mention they are insanely expensive to operate. The cost-to-benefit ratio is not sustainable, even for most of the tasks they *can* do.
@faoluin @ShadowJonathan Isn’t that more a question about green energy transition than about LLMs as such?

@anderspuck @ShadowJonathan No, it doesn't matter what kind of energy they're consuming, because energy always has a cost to produce, and again the cost-to-benefit ratio isn't there. LLMs are creating scarcity for relatively little actual positive benefit.

It's also not strictly about power; the same arguement applies to water consumption as well.

There is a huge difference between LLM and the automation used for cars. How one of the two behaves cannot be used to draw any conclusions about the other.

@kasperd @anderspuck @ShadowJonathan

Dittos! I was about to post the same thing.

The industry has been developing "AI" technologies since before I was born. Many work quite well, and are useful. Some save money. Some save lives.

You probably interact with "traditional" AI systems far more often than you realize.

Each has to be evaluated based on its costs and benefits and risks.

Generative AI / LLMs Chatbots are a dangerous wasteful SCAM.

Self-driving cars are still "iffy."

Self-driving cars are iffy, but human driven cars are dangerous. A self driving car might already be safer than one driven by a human.

The hard question is what will people choose if they are given the choice between two accidents that can be blamed on human drivers or one accident with a self-driving car where there isn't anyone to blame.

@kasperd The solution to cars being dangerous isn’t to replace the drivers. It’s to get rid of the cars in as many places as possible to replace them with free public transit, bikes, and other safer and greener options
By all means let's have better public transit. It doesn't need to be free in order to have an effect. How well it functions is a more important factor in getting people to use it than the price.
@kasperd Sure, but if it’s free at least you don’t get cops shooting people to death over a $3 fare (as happened in NYC less than a month ago)
I think the real issue to be addressed in that story is not the price of the ticket.