tanteThe "AI is gonna make programmers more massively more efficient myth" is hitting reality. And not surviving.
https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/sorry-genai-is-not-going-to-10x-computer
Caspar C. Mierau@tante You cannot deconstruct the origins of "10x" often enough.
> The original study that found huge variations in individual programming productivity was conducted in the late 1960s by Sackman, Erikson, and Grant (1968). They studied professional programmers with an average of 7 years’ experience and found that the ratio of initial coding time between the best and worst programmers was about 20 to 1; the ratio of debugging times over 25 to 1; of program size 5 to 1; and of program execution speed about 10 to 1. They found no relationship between a programmer’s amount of experience and code quality or productivity.
John Flournoy@leitmedium What's wild was that it was low-performing outliers that led to this 10x idea! It's like, there are some 1/10x programmers. And that's just a quirk of how these things tend to be distributed!