Anders Puck NielsenAug 19, 2024
The Russian reaction to Ukraine's invasion of Kursk is somewhat misunderstood. They may be slow, but they are not paralyzed. We should expect them to escalate the war, but that will require the use of conscripts. They are progressing slowly to avoid domestic backlash.
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Show threadOsma A 🇫🇮🇺🇦Aug 19, 2024
Well argued, Anders. Yes, putin has a plan of response. It may be a bad plan, one that Ukraine was able to predict even, but a plan nonetheless. And lots of young, badly trained russian barely-men will die as a result. Ukraine's hope is that it will cause a revolt - though if there are no men capable and experienced enough to prosecute that revolution left, it will fall to the russian women to do so.
RT @anderspuck
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Anders Puck Nielsen (@[email protected])

The Russian reaction to Ukraine's invasion of Kursk is somewhat misunderstood. They may be slow, but they are not paralyzed. We should expect them to escalate the war, but that will require the use of conscripts. They are progressing slowly to avoid domestic backlash. https://youtu.be/u_80rUKItGc

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Show threadTom Forsyth

@osma @anderspuck I think an even bigger result of this Ukrainian incursion is to scratch the idea that Russia has a "red line" beyond which it will use nukes. It does not - it's all bluff.

We need to just give Ukraine all the weapons right now and stop fretting about escalation.

Aug 19, 2024 at 10:09pmWeb