Anders Puck NielsenAug 19, 2024
The Russian reaction to Ukraine's invasion of Kursk is somewhat misunderstood. They may be slow, but they are not paralyzed. We should expect them to escalate the war, but that will require the use of conscripts. They are progressing slowly to avoid domestic backlash.
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Show threadШуроAug 19, 2024

@anderspuck In my opinion the correct response for Russia would be slow systematic pressure on the invading forces while attempting to exploit weaknesses on other fronts as a lot of most experienced Ukraine forces are tied under Kursk.

It seems this is what Kremlin does.

Show threadMeko #nowar
@shuro @anderspuck I also expect some show of force like massive bombing Ukrainian power plants again.
They like to do it in response to some Ukrainian action.

Also there was no massive bombing by Russian strategic aviation after Kursk offense started.
Aug 19, 2024 at 9:16amWeb
Show threadШуроAug 19, 2024
@yura @anderspuck To be honest I don't feel too much outrage in response of this either. Unlike some other (sometimes less militarily significant) events like that missile getting shot over the beach. There's more like "it is war and shit happens, so what" attitude and the government tries to keep it this way.
Show threadMeko #nowarAug 26, 2024
@shuro @anderspuck well. I'm not happy to be right. But I was right.

There's currently a massive attack on power systems.