Larry Elliott (Guardian) offers a cut-out & keep 'sliding doors' choice of two election in 2029 - one where Labor has produced a positive & improving economic situation.... and one where they haven't.

In his telling its finally balanced.... so in five years time we might look back & wonder if he was right, or some third (or fourth) scenario has actually played out.

#politics #election2029

https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/jul/07/uk-economy-two-possible-endings

Of the UK economy’s two possible endings, the happy one is more likely

Will the credits roll as Starmer wins big in 2029 or will Reeves be boxed in by her own fiscal rules and leave the economy in a worse state?

The Guardian
@ChrisMayLA6 Not sure where wages are rising faster than prices, not in the public sector where I work.

@peopletrees

Its just happened in the last month or so in the private sector (on average).... but, equally, it may be about to happen in the public sector... if inflation drops & Labour negotiates settlements with public sector unions in the next year?

@ChrisMayLA6 I am really hoping for this because we have nothing left at the end of month and can't afford unexpected expenses. But not pinning hopes on Starmer.

@peopletrees

Sorry to hear that, especially as you are far from alone....

@ChrisMayLA6 Do you share Elliott's views?

@caterinevauban

I think there are more possibilities; but these are certainly two of them & they are relatively equally matched by probabilities - a Trump presidency could throw a curveball our way, as could another Russian invasion.... to name but two potential 'events'