The "Biden Replacement Theory": A Joke That's Not Funny

If you're going to engage in any discussions about replacing Joe Biden on the ticket, you should know a few unassailable facts that the media have left out of their hysterical drumbeat "coverage" of what "Democratic insiders" are saying: Democratic "insiders" don't give the President advice through the media. They speak directly to him or to the people in his immediate circle. Anyone you see publicly calling on the President to step down is not close to him and does not have his ear. Yes, they may attend occasional briefings at the DNC or get invited to the White House holiday parties and annual Easter Egg Roll, and have their picture taken with him at fundraisers they pay good money to attend so they can get their picture taken. But they don't have real access to him and they can't be assumed to have his best interests in mind. Because the people who are actually close to him don't call him out on CNN and Twitter.

Stephanie’s Substack

@Teri_Kanefield @StephanieJones The DNC machine runs an unpopular incumbent, but the problem is ungrateful, unrealistic, uninformed voters.

Noted.

@grumble209 @Teri_Kanefield @StephanieJones So why did Biden sail through the primaries?

@WhiteCatTamer @Teri_Kanefield @StephanieJones Because the big donors didn't back anyone else? Before there are primaries, there is the voting of the donors, which determines who is capable of running in the primaries.

https://youtu.be/mw2z9lV3W1g?si=kbXhZiTxotGbgE1A

We the People, and the Republic we must reclaim | Lawrence Lessig

YouTube
@grumble209 @Teri_Kanefield @StephanieJones I’m not going to watch a TED talk. Can you explain it in your own words?

@WhiteCatTamer @Teri_Kanefield @StephanieJones To win the general election, you need to do really well in primaries.

To do really well in primaries, you need to get excellent early support from big donors.

So while the 99% have ultimate control over who wins an election, the 1% control who we get to choose between.

Apparently, the 1% that support the Dems are pretty stoked with Joe and the status quo. The rest of us, not so much.

But hey, Trump is really awful, and that's good enough, right?

@grumble209 @Teri_Kanefield @StephanieJones Your original comment concerned uninformed and unrealistic voters. OP’s link speaks to that due to the way the process works. Do you disagree that that is not how ballot access, and so winning the Electoral College works?

I’m not asking if you disagree with the result. We can both agree on several points there. But we are here now. We can’t go back to before. So yes, Trump being awful matters.

@WhiteCatTamer @Teri_Kanefield @StephanieJones Stephanie accurately describes the current process, and why, using the current process, despite being in advance of the party convention, it's too late to change candidates. I mean, they've already printed the bumper stickers.

But I hope we can agree that, this time, the current process has produced a shitty result: Biden's candidacy is not uniting his own party, let alone attracting unaligned voters. The only possible uniting factor in this election is that Trump is *really *bad. Worse even than a +19 disapproval margin? I guess we'll find out. The Dems can accomplish anything - even an incumbent losing an election to a convicted felon.

My snark tries to suggest that the current process is bullshit; only serving the monied interests, and that clinging to a shitty process further alienates the DNC from the population as a whole. The Dems tore themselves apart within living memory - they can do it again.

Edit: Fix attribution.

@grumble209 Yes, I agree: I -am- also tired of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. I do think that the Democratic establishment trends older and more timid than they or this country or this world need them to be, though that error in thinking comes from an understandable place of wanting the nominee to be for all Americans. I don’t think that’s the right move amidst cultish fervor for reactionaries in one sector of the populace, but it’s an understandable one.
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@grumble209 I don’t see it as possible to get more good, progressive candidates who have the broad appeal, party connections, and political savvy to be the president capable of enacting their agenda without electing them into office in the first place, and if the most progressive among us choose to sit out we won’t get there. Similarly, if someone washes their hands of the Democratic party and votes 3rd party, nothing changes; they, rightly, don’t consider them gettable anymore.
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@grumble209 It is absolutely a general trend that the modern parties hew closer to monied interests than voters’ preferences. It is also true that this trend is far worse the more conservative you go, and that treating voting for candidates as a stamp of approval is the wrong idea: it is an expression of your power as a voter to shape the legislature and the party. It is the simplest, most direct, and farthest reaching power, and it should NEVER be ceded.
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@grumble209 It would be great if we had a slew of options, and no, I don’t relish saying “but Trump”, but speaking as a queer person whose ectopic pregnancy choice in half the nation is to wait to die, “but Trump” is EXTREMELY pertinent. We’ve seen what his court is producing. We’ve seen the armed white supremacist groups growing bolder. We’ve seen his plans for deportation camps, we’ve heard his disdain for NATO, for Palestine, we’ve heard him court oil barons.
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@grumble209 Biden has done more than many give him credit for, and while in an increasingly hostile political climate. You can be frustrated with intraparty politics and still see that. You can think the Democratic party has become intellectually flabby because their only real opponents have been gargling coal plant runoff cut with homeopathic Bible water for at least three decades now.
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@grumble209 But the solution to that is to cut Republicans out of each and every seat with hedgeclippers, install Democrats, and then split the party into full progressives and conservatives.
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Also it ate one of my posts and I didn’t save it so I am officially on the market for servers with higher character limits because I feel like a douchebag making a lot of notifications and losing half of what I was going to say anyways.

@WhiteCatTamer Can't say I agree that the solution to hyperpartisanship is to only have one party. Especially when the Constitution itself speaks so eloquently in its silence about political parties.

If the goal is to have one chamber representing the rich and one chamber representing the people, then we really need to bump up the size of the House and reapportion accordingly.

Let's #ExpandTheHouse to 1500 and see how that works for decade or two. Because the solution to pollution is dilution.

@grumble209 Not one party, the Democrats can be the party of conservatives that are interacting with reality, a new progressive party can form by splitting off from the Democrats. Instead of constantly chucking Hail Mary passes in the hopes that a 3rd party gets in, you ride and guide the big tent until you can send Republicans packing for good.

I do think that the House of Reps needs to be reapportioned, but that seems unwieldy, so other avenues of change will result.

@WhiteCatTamer Like most complex situations, there's more than one fundamental cause at play.

Two parties are not enough to represent a diverse nation of 330 million, even if the two parties weren't constantly sucking up to billionaires. Both the number of parties and their funding sources needs to be unfucked.

Too few politicians (i.e., using the 1920 apportionment for a country 3x the population) makes those politicians too powerful, and too prone to corruption. Ditto a SCOTUS sized for the 1870s. So we have to dilute their power by enlarging both the House and SCOTUS.

But the real problem, caused by decades of letting the 1% run everything, is that 1/3 of the country are ready to embrace fascism. Putting the Dems in charge of everything won't make that 1/3 go away - that's what they are fighting against.

I hope the US isn't terminally fucked. But there's not much good news, and the Dems have climbed up their own assholes and are, in practical terms, useless.