Adam MosseriIn my job I spend a fair amount of time with both smart people who are incredibly skeptical of AI and its potentials and other equally intelligent people who are wildly optimistic. One way I square this circle is accepting that we all tend to overestimate what can happen in the short term and underestimate what can be accomplished over the long run.
The use cases I'm most interested in are around creativity. People often talk about ideas that look like a button that makes a finished video and shares it on your behalf, but that's not what this looks like. People have taste and emotional resonance that AI can't replicate. Instead, for creators, AI will show up as series tools of tools that make it easier for more people to be more creative.
Imagine a tool that translates your audio into another language and syncs your lips so you can grow in another country. Imagine an AI that gives you insight about the patterns of what's resonated and what's not about what you've shared in the past. Imagine one that reads over a brand deal contract and gives you an objective take on how favorable the terms are. AI doesn't need to disintermediate the creator. If we're in, we can find all sorts of ways for the technology to empower creatives.
Darius Kazemithis is such a cursed take in the specific examples even if I agree with the broad point of ML being useful in certain contexts
Me: let's use hammers to build houses instead of bash people's heads in
Meta guy: Some people are pessimistic about hammers. Some people are optimistic about hammers. I personally believe that we can use hammers to marginally perpetuate the shitty world we all live in
Jason Petersen (he)@darius I almost commented on this too and realized what’s the point. But the guy seems like an absolute moron.
“Both sides can be smart”
“Oh by the way actually one side is the one seeing things in reality the others are dumb”
Truly idiotic writing.
Adam@jason @darius I’m not saying the other view is dumb at all. I’m saying AI is going to be helpful and harmful to creatives, how it has both effects is going to change a lot over the next few years, not the next few months, and the effects will be relatively small in the short run and much more significant over the long run.
@mosseri you seem to be assuming this stuff is useful and arguing from there, which writes off an entire side that is arguing that it needs to prove itself more before we even move onto “is this helpful or harmful”
The long run thing isn’t even a given. If boosters fuck this up enough it becomes radioactive to investors, we’re looking at another AI winter cycle before it gets more attention. The last one lasted roughly forty years.