“Your periodic reminder that less ice at the Arctic is consistent with a weaker jet stream that allows cold air to drift down into the Great Plains.

The frigid temps you're experiencing happen BECAUSE of a warming planet, not in spite of it.” Via Dr Steve Campbell from the other place

He later references https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/understanding-arctic-polar-vortex

https://twitter.com/historian_steve/status/1745920780624711886?s=46&t=4TnCHrl_NkgPDLmdROH8hA

Understanding the Arctic polar vortex

Polar vortex expert Amy Butler and Arctic expert James Overland offer perspectives on the February cold snap in the southern U.S., the polar vortex, and how the Arctic might influence mid-latitude weather.

NOAA Climate.gov
@kcarruthers Today's polar vortex (10hPa) and jet stream (250hPa). Normally, the polar vortex is a nominally circular low pressure zone. The stronger vortex to the right of the first image is the low, rotating counterclockwise. It looks as though it may split into two separate vortices. The high pressure zone on the left looks unusual. Can any experts comment, please. The second image is the jet stream, which is way beyond wavy. It has two major cells and crosses the north pole.
@Wes_Montage @kcarruthers I'm not an expert but a slight enthusiast - there is indeed a split in progress, the stratospheric polar vortex is currently not in a strong state. Though that in itself is something that happens from time to time in normal circumstances; whether climate change is weakening the jet stream is still a matter of scientific debate I think(?). But certainly the broad picture of increased extremes is pretty settled.

@Wes_Montage @kcarruthers Strat vortex splits are related to a phenomenon called Sudden Stratospheric Warming. I think that's also the reason for that high pressure area - the low of the vortex is displaced to the side.

Worth noting the polar vortex in the stratosphere isn't the same as the polar vortex in the troposphere (which is bringing those cold temps at the moment I think) but the two are connected in the atmosphere. That's where my armchair knowledge ends!!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudden_stratospheric_warming?wprov=sfla1

Sudden stratospheric warming - Wikipedia