Looks like we’ve had some updates. All odds taken directly from the MGM sports book:

Current Vegas Odds on the New Goose Drummer:

+255 Aaron Sterling
+850 Adrian Tramontano
+1100 Cameron LaForest
+1400 John Morgan Kimock
+1500 Jeff Arevelo
+1875 Kris Myers
+2200 Alex Bailey
+3000 Jay Lane
+3400 Jay Weinberg
+3700 John Molo
+3800 Joe Russo
+4500 Sam Altman
+5000 Alan Hertz
+5000 Rodney Holmes
+5500 Todd Nance
+7000 Billy Kreutzmann
+9900 Scotty Zwang
+125 Field (anyone not listed)

Big shakeup with Field Yates reporting that the members of Goose follow John Kimock, and Adrian has a loyal friendship with Ben.

+275 Aaron Sterling
+500 John Morgan Kimock
+900 Cameron LaForest
+1150 Adrian Tramontano
+1500 Jeff Arevelo
+1875 Kris Myers
+2200 Alex Bailey
+3000 Jay Lane
+3400 Jay Weinberg
+3700 John Molo
+3800 Joe Russo
+4500 Sam Altman
+5000 Alan Hertz
+5000 Rodney Holmes
+5500 Todd Nance
+7000 Billy Kreutzmann
+9900 Scotty Zwang
+125 Field (anyone not listed)

Now let’s handicap the field:

Sterling - One of the first rumored replacements. Smoke/fire and all that. Would provide a fresh creative direction. The only question is how would he hold up improvising for long stretches without a net in front of 5,000 people. Also, at 43yo he’s a decade older than most of the band.

Kimock - I’m probably biased bc his dad stopped touring with world-class drummers to put him in the band. Always found him to be a poor listener with a very busy style.

1/x

2/x

LaForest - Dude is a spectacular drummer who was part of Spafford when Spafford looked like they had big things ahead of them before he was abruptly replaced by their OG drummer. He’s the right age, and he’s pretty. This would be my preference, but I’m not betting on it because god never listens to what I say.

Tramontano - Don’t know anything about him except people I trust say he’s fantastic. But he’s not pretty or nerdy. Tough fit.

3/x

Arevelo - Played drums in Vasudo though his performances in Goose might make one question his motor as it always appeared Ben was doing all the work. Was this by design and Jeff held back?

Myers - The Ben/Myers trade makes way too much sense for everyone involved until you think about Kris yelling at Rick on the talkback mics while he’s in the middle of a 27 minute guitar solo with his eyes closed.

4/x

Bailey - Dream scenario, but would he give up his Eggy dreams? Is he too much of an alpha to be second fiddle to Rick?

Lane - Not sure why this is rumored or what the connections are. Solid drummer but feels like a big step down from Ben. Also a very odd age fit

Weinberg - Not sure how the style fits, but apparently he’s talented and unemployed

Molo - Dude has a style a lot like Ben, but he’s quite old. Very old.

5/x

Russo - Russo doesn’t play nearly as many JRAD shows as he could so he can do more passion projects. And he makes $$$ with JRAD. He’s not adding 75+ Goose shows per year.

Altman - LOL

Hertz/Holmes - Both would be spectacular. Both are pipe dreams from middle-aged balding dudes (aka Goose’s core demographic)

Nance - Dude got kicked out of Panic for a better drummer for reasons unknown. Goose isn’t signing WSP’s sloppy seconds.

6/6

Billy K - No juggernaut is signing a cantankerous, out-of-shape old dude to take them to the promised land. This isn’t the New York Jets.

Zwang - An early favorite but has since denied interest on Instagram while making ill-advised posts about the Middle East that are unbecoming of a high profile position.

So far it seems like the best bet is on the field for someone to come out of nowhere.

Cameron LaForest has been spotted practicing Goose songs. Time to update the big board.

+175 Cameron LaForest
+400 Aaron Sterling
+700 John Morgan Kimock
+1150 Adrian Tramontano
+1500 Jeff Arevelo
+1875 Kris Myers
+2200 Alex Bailey
+3000 Jay Lane
+3400 Jay Weinberg
+3700 John Molo
+3800 Joe Russo
+4500 Sam Altman
+5000 Alan Hertz
+5000 Rodney Holmes
+7000 Billy Kreutzmann
+9900 Scotty Zwang
+125 Field (anyone not listed)

Cam LaForest confirms he is not auditioning but available if given a chance. Time to update the big board. + adding in Chris Tomson

+350 Cameron LaForest
+350 Aaron Sterling
+600 John Morgan Kimock
+1150 Adrian Tramontano
+1500 Jeff Arevelo
+1875 Kris Myers
+2000 Chris Tomson
+2200 Alex Bailey
+3000 Jay Lane
+3400 Jay Weinberg
+3700 John Molo
+3800 Joe Russo
+4500 Sam Altman
+5000 Alan Hertz
+5000 Rodney Holmes
+7000 Billy Kreutzmann
+9900 Scotty Zwang
+125 Field (anyone not listed)

Morning odds update. Cam buzz dies down. Two unknown VT drummers and Deitch make the board.

+250 Aaron Sterling
+400 John Kimock
+650 Cameron LaForest
+950 Adrian Tramontano
+1100 Cotter Ellis
+1100 Sean Preece
+1400 Jeff Arevelo
+1900 Kris Myers
+2000 Chris Tomson
+2200 Alex Bailey
+3600 Jay Lane
+3800 Jay Weinberg
+4000 Adam Deitch
+4500 John Molo
+4500 Joe Russo
+5500 Sam Altman
+6000 Alan Hertz
+6000 Rodney Holmes
+8500 Billy Kreutzmann
+9900 Scotty Zwang
+150 Field (anyone not listed)

Goose drummer odds update. Long odds get longer. Preece moves up. Adrian still not pretty enough.

+350 Aaron Sterling
+400 John Kimock
+600 Cameron LaForest
+800 Sean Preece
+975 Cotter Ellis
+1000 Adrian Tramontano
+1400 Jeff Arevelo
+1900 Kris Myers
+2000 Chris Tomson
+2200 Alex Bailey
+4700 Jay Lane
+5000 Jay Weinberg
+5500 Adam Deitch
+6000 John Molo
+7000 Joe Russo
+7500 Sam Altman
+8000 Alan Hertz
+8000 Rodney Holmes
+9000 Billy Kreutzmann
+9900 Scotty Zwang
+125 Field (anyone not listed)