Mastodawn

joep schuurkes Nov 26, 2023

I knew the Dunning-Kruger effect wasn't valid, but thanks to this post I finally understand why: "The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation"
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/

The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down

Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?

Economics from the Top Down

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vriesk (Jan Srz)Nov 26, 2023

@joeposaurus sorry, but no. The author of this "debunk" is significantly confused.

His argument for autocorrelation completely fails to see that what the research looks for - and found - is not a correlation, but a lack of perfect correlation (and how divergent it is).

Their counterexample - best illustrated by figure 7 - is a good show of their confusion: yes, in a sample of people that have a completely uncorrelated notion of perceived vs actual performance, the DK effect is at full glory.

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the roamer

@vriesk @joeposaurus

Glad you point out the flaw in this invalid attempt to deny the existence of the DKE . Well argued, thanks!