Good read:
“Many scientists consider underestimates to be “conservative,” because they are conservative with respect to the question of when to sound an alarm or how loudly to sound it. The logic of this can be questioned, because underestimation is not conservative when viewed in terms of giving people adequate time to prepare. (Consider for example, an underestimate of an imminent hurricane, tornado, or earthquake.)”
An important read on how the IPCC models are conservative and actually miss out on quite a few factors: "researchers have cataloged “41 biogeophysical feedback loops,” that aren’t incorporated into [climate] models. ”these additional [feedback] loops could mean that the remaining carbon budget has been overestimated, in which case proposed mitigation pathways may be inadequate and net zero (human) emissions may need to be achieved more quickly.” https://www.currentaffairs.org/2023/07/climate-optimism-is-dangerous-and-irrational #ClimateChange #IPCC
Finally my plans
Brendan Jones