@staidwinnow @atrupar The reason to not freak out over the polls right now isn't that it's just poll, it's that polls this far out just aren't predictive. You can find polls where Mondale was beating Reagan a year out. We know how that went. And that's FAR from the only example.

The country is not really center-right. It's really basically an even split. The GOP has outsize power due to geographic effects and gerrymandering.

@JammerJim @staidwinnow @atrupar I agree that polling is untrustworthy this far out, but a Trump v Biden rematch in 2024 could be an exception to the rule as both are already known quantities among the electorate. How many folk don't have an opinion on them? How many people are going to change their mind? I don't expect it's many.