Via Sahil Kapur:

Can’t overstate it: Roe v Wade was an electoral gift to Republicans while it was alive. It turned an issue that’s a huge loser for the party into a winner—they could mobilize their anti-abortion base without triggering a backlash by the abortion rights majority.

Now that’s over.

@GottaLaff correct but that base is zealots and wants what it wants and won't let democracy stop it. This fight will go on for a while. If we think this contingent will be chastened by a few votes, we are mistaken.
@GottaLaff look for the conservatives movement to try to cobble together some tortured argument to take this issue back off the table By banning it nationwide as a violation of equal protection or some other such reasoning either impliedly or explicitly relying on fetal personhood. Seems farfetched now. But don't put it past them.
@GottaLaff It is truly written, "Be careful what you wish for." 🙂

@GottaLaff

Once you grab a tiger by the tail you can't let go.

The fundamental mistake was grabbing the tiger's tail in the first place.

That's Goldwater. "Hunt where the ducks are."

I really hope this strategic mistake CRUSHES the Republican party.

@qkslvrwolf

@GottaLaff They're now the dog that caught the car.

@GottaLaff
Yes, they're in trouble with it now that they won their game.

But the origin of the game is weird:
1. Pro-slavery churches hated Catholics, but Catholics had minimal political power.
2. After the Reconstruction Amendments, pro-slavery churches turned into white supremacist and segregationist churches, and hated Catholics.
3. At some point, the Catholic Church decided #abortion was always bad, not just after "quickening".
4. Post WWII civil rights eventually ended #segregation in public schools; segregationists moved to private schools run by segregationist churches.
5. Catholics gained political power, and got JFK into the White House, but didn't have the power to ban abortion.
6. Civil rights took away tax breaks for segregated religious schools. Segregationist churches didn't care about abortion; it came in handy when a preacher knocked up a niece or a stepdaughter.

1/

@GottaLaff

7. Segregationist churches, which still hated Catholics, envied their political power. They regarded created the "Moral Majority", and offered a bargain to Catholics: we help you with your abortion politics, and you help us get back our tax-exempt segregated religious schools.
8. The anti-abortion cause caught on in segregationist churches, and became as important to them as segregation. Meanwhile, Catholics accepted their support against abortion, but didn't help them with their segregation goals.
9. The fervor of the anti-abortion cause helped segregationist churches gain political power and they used it to get Reagan elected. The weird result was a Black white supremacist on the Supreme Court.
10. Segregationist churches eventually got an open racist into the White House, and through dirty politics got an anti-abortion white supremacist corporate welfare Supreme Court.

2/

@GottaLaff

11. Segregationist churches got their abortion bans and some of their white power agenda -- and even most Catholics were horrified with the results.
12. Politics may be getting messy for the white supremacist churches, but we'll see what happens, because they still control the Supreme Court.

end/