Muskovy needs to get the Japan/Germany treatment - entirely demilitarized and culturally rewritten from the ground up over three consecutive generations until they’re more associated with absolute pacifism a Muskovite version of anime than anything else. The rest of the RF needs to be culturally rewritten until they don’t even remember what the word “Russian” means other than synonymous with “Nazi”.

Unfortunately that’s not really in the cards anymore thanks to nuclear weapons, which have made conventional invasions of nuclear-armed states a dicey proposition, to put it mildly.

Unfucking Russia is likely impossible at this point, at least in time scales less than 100 years. They’ve been brutally violent imperialists for centuries now, and their mentality and public institutions are so fantastically fucked up that fixing them would require a “cold reboot” of a huge chunk of their culture, like you noted, and without popular support inside Russia that’s just never going to happen.

While true as far as military intervention goes, I’m cautiously optimistic about Peter Zeihan’s predictions that its current demographic freefall will help take away their ability to actually man, operate and maintain those systems.

Oh yeah their demographic pyramid isn’t exactly looking healthy, but I doubt they’ll get “better” when that particular shit hits the fan. Might not be able to do mass scale invasions, but they can be pretty inventive when it comes to applying violence and coercion

It’s a large landmass. If their population dips below the point where they can even maintain a coherent government or enforce their will on their colonies, we might be able to watch those same colonies start declaring independence. Hopefully, at least, even if I’m not holding my breath.