0x815Russia making cadets out of children kidnapped from Ukraine: report
Muskovy needs to get the Japan/Germany treatment - entirely demilitarized and culturally rewritten from the ground up over three consecutive generations until they’re more associated with absolute pacifism a Muskovite version of anime than anything else. The rest of the RF needs to be culturally rewritten until they don’t even remember what the word “Russian” means other than synonymous with “Nazi”.
Unfortunately that’s not really in the cards anymore thanks to nuclear weapons, which have made conventional invasions of nuclear-armed states a dicey proposition, to put it mildly.
Unfucking Russia is likely impossible at this point, at least in time scales less than 100 years. They’ve been brutally violent imperialists for centuries now, and their mentality and public institutions are so fantastically fucked up that fixing them would require a “cold reboot” of a huge chunk of their culture, like you noted, and without popular support inside Russia that’s just never going to happen.
While true as far as military intervention goes, I’m cautiously optimistic about Peter Zeihan’s predictions that its current demographic freefall will help take away their ability to actually man, operate and maintain those systems.
Oh yeah their demographic pyramid isn’t exactly looking healthy, but I doubt they’ll get “better” when that particular shit hits the fan. Might not be able to do mass scale invasions, but they can be pretty inventive when it comes to applying violence and coercion
It’s a large landmass. If their population dips below the point where they can even maintain a coherent government or enforce their will on their colonies, we might be able to watch those same colonies start declaring independence. Hopefully, at least, even if I’m not holding my breath.
I’m not exactly looking forward to that; it’d essentially be musical chairs with nukes
AFAIK, the Soviet nuclear missiles have already rusted down in the nuclear shafts - and nuch fewer modern Russian missiles will also rust down without imperial funding. And all the destitute, deprived people of the current empire will at last be free to develop and prosper.
I admire your optimism, but assuming that their strategic deterrence would just quietly fall into pieces before some unsavory vatnik can get their hands on them honestly seems a bit too optimistic.
All these missiles have an elaborate security system, and can be launched only by Kremlin orders. All the local warlord can do with the missile is to make a dirty bomb. And by doing so, doom his small country to isolation. So we’ll have to make sure that post-Putin officers are interested to dismantle the launch system, and to make sure that local leaders are interested in international cooperation. The leaders of the “Free Nation’s League” freenationsleague.org have already declared that they will get rid of the nuclear weapons.
Dissolution of old empires is just a natural law. All the European empires have already dissolved, and now the last of them crumbles. As old age and death are inevitable, so is the dissolution of archaic empires when new communication technologies make them outdated. So we’ll have to deal with this problem, and fortunately the natural processes of rust and decay will be on our side.
Assuming that the security systems actually work, and that nobody higher up the chain just sells the necessary codes. Also, tactical weapons are usable without higher-level authorization
Yes, I am looking forward to see all the colonized people free. They are already working toward their freedom: freenationsleague.org
Moreover, due to climate change, there’s going to be a huge northward wave of migration - precisely to the Siberian belt that is becoming warm enough for agriculture.