Good neighborship
Good neighborship
German green party
Nuclear plants:đ€ź
Carbon plants (that actually produce more radiation that nuclear plants): đ„°
Youâre certainly right that their handling of nuclear was inefficient for reducing carbon output.
Iâm pretty pro nuclear, but I donât think that really takes away from their success in pushing renewables forward, they were a very early adopter of solar thanks to their very generous subsidies and probably helped fuel its growth at a faster rate, so regardless of their unfortunate paranoia around nuclear, they do deserve some praise. Perfect is the enemy of good, and given the speed the world has responded to climate change, Germanys mixed and painful transition was certainly not the worst.
The problem with solar is going to be scaling it to meet power demands. Never mind the fact that solar companies are cutting down trees to make way for solar fields.
Nuclear energy and hopefully nuclear fusion will be the future
What? Is there a good alternative? If we could magically make the world 100% renewable+nuclear in only 14 years that would be amazing I think. It would not solve everything, but sometimes it takes a bit to stop the bleeding before healing can start (carbon capture and planting trees during nuclear construction maybe?)
Is there a faster way?
The life-cycle emissions from nuclear are better than PV, but itâs still not as good as wind or hydro. But the issue is that itâs massively front loaded - you have huge emissions during construction that are slowly undone over the decades of operation. But we canât afford to ramp up emissions for the next 14+ years (both the emissions of building a nuclear plant, and the fact that the existing coal/gas plants will have to run for another 14 years). If you switch to renewables, you can reduce emissions this year, not in the 2050s.
And there is absolutely no way youâre going to repurpose a fission plant into a fusion plant. They have basically nothing in common apart from the name.
This might be true for large reactors but I donât think it will hold true with small modular reactors. We need the stability of nuclear too, as power demands overall rise.
Renewables should definitely be a priority still, but nuclear shouldnât be kicked out of the conversation.
These decisions are mainly rooted in the peace movement of the 80s (fueled by the nuclear missiles in Germany installed by the US) and the direct experience of Tschernobyl. Its supported by the majority in the public.
The current political decision was made by the more conservative government.
I think there is also an important cultural difference between Germany and France that led to different nuclear program.
In the German political system there is strong regional and local governments and a weaker federal government that holds all that together.
In the French political system there a very strong centralized government and regional or local government donât have much power.
Nuclear worked very well in France because of that. Nuclear energy need to be organized at a national level, German prefer energy that can be deployed locally or regionally.
I like the the Greens, but they actually initiated the phase out the last time they ruled 20 years ago. One of their core ideologies was the opposition of nuclear power.
But they were also for a coal phaseout. They arenât responsible for how atomic plants got replaced and that the phaseout got changed into specific dates, they implemented a more flexible phaseout.
A later government decided to slowly replace coal plants with gas plants and keep those coal plants in standby for emergencies for some time. Which is what triggered last year, as those standby plants fired up again when gas plants became unreliable.
France has been importing more electricity than exporting in 2022 because their nuclear reactors canât perform in the heat resulting from climate change. And this is more likely to happen again as each year becomes hotter.
Iâm not sure where this fetishism for Franceâs nuclear energy is coming from.
Youâre quoting 2022 because >30% of the reactrors were taken offline for maintenance. Their also shutting down nuclear reactors.
This is not an inherant problem with nuclear, but because the French government hasnât invested since the 70s.
If funding wasnât cut (due to environmental activists), the output would be more than needed.
Nuclear is still our best bet for combatting climate change and reducing carbon emissions.
Im quoting 2022 because this was last year. As in, the most recent year.
I donât disagree that we should have phased out coal instead of nuclear first. But what has happened has happened. I do disagree that we need a ânuclear renessainceâ now, because neither the economics nor the timelines work out at this point in time. Solar and wind is cheaper, faster to build, and more flexible as you can iterate on their designs MUCH more quickly than nuclear plants. Thatâs the main reason why solar panel efficiency is going through the roof.
Why cannibalize the investments in what obviously works?
As far as I can tell, there is no time with no sun AND no wind: ec.europa.eu/eurostat/âŠ/index.php?title=Energy_stâŠ
In fact, there are multiple studies claiming that you can very well supply base load with renewables, for instance this one:
ceem.unsw.edu.au/âŠ/MarkBaseloadFallacyANZSEE.pdf
One other problem with nuclear is that it has to run at a fixed electricity level, and canât be scaled down if there is eg. lots of solar power being generated. In this case, you have to scale down renewables to make sure you can use the nuclear power, which makes it clash with the eventual goal to power everything with renewables.
I donât know who, in his sane mind, can claim there will never be periods of time with no sun and no wind at the same time. notrickszone.com/âŠ/plunging-towards-darkness-germâŠ
You need a pilotable generator matching renewables. You canât do without it. The only question is how much of it you need to plan. Existing approaches are storage: batteries, hydro where itâs possible (you pump the water up a dam to store back energy) and backup generators: coal, gas, and in some future plans, hydrogen.
None of these is a perfect solution (well, nothing is a perfect solution).
It is not completely true that nuclear needs to run at fixed level. Depending on their design, some plants are pilotable and some are not. But I donât think (Iâll be happily corrected if needed) any had the flexibility you need to be used with renewable (quick large variations).
So the ideal mix is, IMHO, a baseline provided by nuclear, and a mix of renewable and complements to produce the difference.
Bonus: there is a âmethodâ promoted by some (ignorant) politics they call âproliferationâ (âfoisonnementâ, not sure Iâm translating that the best). This is utter BSâŠ
The idea is there will always be sun or wind somewhere in a super-grid spreading through Europe. If you think about it for 1 minute, that means that small part of Europe where there is wind will power, for a more or less short time, a large portion of the whole Europe?? Not only is that totally insane from the capacity point of view, but it also completely neglects the gridâs stability and electricity transportation issue. It is very difficult to transport electricity over very large distances without disturbing the grid. Ask Germany, they spend massively on infrastructures right now without counting on proliferation. That would raise the requirements furtherâŠ
Good Post overall, no need to attack my sanity though :-)
I agree with most of this in principle. Having 100% base load with renewables is an aspirational goal - for now - but nevertheless achievable, I believe. You will find that the sun does, in fact, always shine (somewhere on the planet), and that wind almost always blows (somewhere on the planet). Admittedly, wind is more prevalent throughout the day than sun, but still.
There have been recent discoveries of superconductors that might help transport the electricity where it is needed. But again, this is all in the medium to long term future.
But of course, short to medium term, and long term too, energy storage will play a huge role. I expect massive development in this area, as this is being iterated on anyway, eg. for EVs.
Good Post overall, no need to attack my sanity though :-)
I was not targeting you, rather the idea itself. But it came out terrible and there are definitely better way to express an opinion. So my apologies for that one!
Actually, in a nuclear power plan, except the tank itself (not sure Iâm translating âcuveâ properly, every part can be upgraded.
âLifetime exceededâ in a nuclear reactor is a misleading statement. The truth is we donât know how long they can last. We know some minimum lifetimes only, by being cautious.
Example: you build the first plants, and you âslapâ them with a 40 years lifetime. Why 40 years? Because we have enough records and historical data to back the structure and materials with enough confidence they will last 40 years at least. Beyond 40 years, we start venturing in uncertainty. That doesnât mean we even trust the 40 years. Every 10 years, a power plant is getting fully audited to get an authorization to run for the next 10 years (and there are less deep regular audits as well).
Later, with more data, and more reference, you can establish that the structure and material have proven to have an even longer lifetime, and you can extend it (50, 60 years). It may come with extra-conditions, though. But there is a certain confidence that with the proper funding, France could keep its plants up and running for a lot longer than the initial 40 years.
Ironically, France shutdown the oldest reactors that just had received the very latest upgrade, making it also the most modern reactors in service.
How do you even define that? Nuclear is more expensive than renewables, if you factor in construction and maintenance cost. It only works because it has been massively subdisidized.
Or do you have some source that this energy is âcheaperâ? Please be aware that France caps their electricity prices internally and subsidizes them with taxes (which is fine, but makes the prices incomparable to other countries).
Are you pretending that renewable are not subsidised? Renewable are young yet, how will the prices do in 10 years when they will start to be maintained and replaced? What about the energy you need to complement renewable? Is it considered in their price or not? Do you consider the price of renewable when theyâre cheap because of overproduction?
Youâre like âdid you consider factors a, b, c, d?â and then link to an article that explicitly ignores all of those factors and compares only the amortized cost of the construction of the plants, omitting all other operating costs.
We omit the higher operational costs for the nuclear power plant as they are an economic benefit as well. These costs are recycled back into the economy through wages and taxes.
On top of that, this argument is a classic economic fallacy. Itâs a little bit like saying âbreaking windows is an economic benefit because people will pay glass makers to fix them and so money flows back into the economy.â It completely ignores opportunity costs.
I havenât seen any levelized cost of electricity study that makes nuclear competitive with wind and solar power. Now Iâm not against nuclear power in principle, and as the renewable share goes up grid operators might be willing to pay a premium to subsidize reliable nuclear base load generators.
However the economic proposition I just cannot see. The long lifetime is actually working against nuclear plants here as potential investors assume much greater risk, combined with enormous up-front construction costs. Who wants to invest billions of dollars to bet on electricity prices 60 years into the future? Lots of things can happen in that time.
Thatâs why small reactors are developed. So these parasites of investors can finally be useful to society.
Now I linked the first article I found. Itâs hard enough to find any relevant information. You chose to answer that only. Fine.
In Europe the market is not free. And any sane country would subsidised energy production. I would bet USA also does it. In Europe ARENH means all Ă©nergies are helped by nuclear energy production, a system meant to help other energies to compete with it. Renewable are funded by states for decades now, and theyâve been so eventhough they were far from competitive 20 years ago.
Ok, so obviously, youâre not well aware of how the new European open market works, and why France ended up paying part of consumerâs bills.
France uses to have a state-owned company, EDF, producing and distributing electricity in France. EDF had a monopole. France had the cheapest electricity of Europe, and EDF was profitable. Sink that in, when you say nuclear is expensive:
EDF was delivering the cheapest electricity of Europe and was profitable.
A decision from the European Union was taken to force all members to switch to an open market. French government at the time was conservative, so they happily went along with it. Everyone âknowsâ that private sector always does better than whatever has âpublicâ or âstateâ in its description.
But how would you introduce competition when virtually no one else produces any electricity? How to kickstart it? Thatâs where bright people went very very creative.
Production and distribution of electricity was split as separate activities. EDF spinned off the distribution part of its work. In parallel, a quota of nuclear production was allocated to new companies, âelectricity suppliersâ, so that they got something to sell at an affordable price.
Thatâs where it starts to be interesting: to guarantee a margin to electricity suppliers, so that they would make enough money to invest in production, the daily price of electricity on the market is set to the marginal cost of the most expensive power plant thatâs turned on. Do you follow me? If today, 99% of electricity is coming from a nuclear power plant, but you need to start a coal power plant to provide the last 1%, all 100% of the electricity that day is billed at the cost of the coal power plant! I am not kidding, I am not making that shit up!
Why prices exploded since last year? Well, youâve heard about gas prices, right? Every day a gas power plan is turned on with gas prices through the roof, 100% of the electricity that day is billed at the cost of the gas power plant. Thatâs why France started subsidizing the consumers bills, because most of them could not afford a x6, 7, 10 on their electricity bills.
But at least, we do have competition now, donât we? Well⊠not on the production sideâŠ
No condition on investment was given to the electricity supplier. Read that again. Guess what happened. Electricity suppliers were buying most of their electricity at a cheap regulated cost from EDF and selling it with a big profit to consumers, all while producing nothing themselves. Why would they?? Money is trickling down to them for free!
Even better: as they were more competitive than EDF, thanks to having 0 maintenance and 0 investment to make, and cheap electricity to resell, their customers base grew. Then they found out that they were not getting enough cheap electricity, and they faced a dilemma: buy a larger share of electricity from other real producers, that would have increased their cost, or cap their customers base (or of course, invest in production, but who wants to do that, right?).
They did neither of these. They pleaded to the current government to get MORE cheap electricity from EDF. And the government did that: forced EDF to allocate more of its cheap nuclear electricity to them, increasing the quota. Needless to say that if EDF needed more electricity for their own customers, they were answered that they could buy the more expensive electricity from outside, or invest in more capacity. Makes sense, right? The exact opposite of what the system was supposed to do.
Now, the very best part: when gas price exploded, even the small fraction of electricity bought by the electricity suppliers impacted their cost. It was unacceptable to them. So they raised their rate to be above EDF, or even outright cancelled contracts with their customers, so that customers would go back to EDF (EDF cannot refuse contracts, and is not allowed to adjust its own rates). But⊠electricity suppliers do not have to give up on their quota from EDF⊠soâŠ
EDF had to buy back the electricity EDF produces, to companies producing nothing, at the rate of the market, of course, not the rate at which EDF is forced to sell that electricity to these companies. So itâs even better now. EDF sells them electricity (which is a virtual sale, electricity still goes from EDF plants to households like it did before). These companies sell it back to EDF with a big margin. Dream business, isnât it?
So France does not subsidize bills because nuclear is too expensive.
France literally subsidizes a scam scheme, in which most of the money going to parasitic companies producing nothing.
Any sources on any of that? Thatâs a lot of âyou just know thatâ information, and I do consider myself well informed. I am not from France though.
Anyway:
neither of those points addresses the costs of energy production I quoted above. Those are, to the best of my knowledge, approximately correct. It may very well have been that nuclear was competitive in the past, it isnât anymore.
getting scammed by some middle man seems to be a fate that all modern democracies share, though who the middle man is varies country by country :-)
I consider the marginal cost thing to be one of the best acts from the EU. Maybe not in France, but overall it rewards the most efficient energy producer massively, which currently is solar. Those companies can use the excess money to reinvest.
Any sources on any of that? Thatâs a lot of âyou just know thatâ information, and I do consider myself well informed. I am not from France though.
Hmm⊠sources, yes. In something thatâs not in French is a tad more difficult, but I found these:
enerdata.net/âŠ/france-mandates-edf-sell-100-twh-p⊠reuters.com/âŠ/france-electricity-regulator-idUSL8âŠ
I found that one about EDF regaining customers, losing money in 2022. It includes an addendum: the quota it has to sell was set back to 100TWh. But sorry, youâll have to use a translation service⊠leprogres.fr/âŠ/pourquoi-edf-gagne-des-abonnes-maiâŠ
neither of those points addresses the costs of energy production I quoted above. Those are, to the best of my knowledge, approximately correct. It may very well have been that nuclear was competitive in the past, it isnât anymore.
I am all but convinced any of this will last. Pressure on solar panel has increased, it is deeply connected to the semiconductorâs industry. In the coming decades, it will raise questions on water usage, minerals, etc.
Wind farms occupy very large surfaces, and they already compete with other usage of the land. Dismantling them is problematic too: a large body of concrete is left behind in the ground.
getting scammed by some middle man seems to be a fate that all modern democracies share, though who the middle man is varies country by country :-)
Unfortunately, canât but agree, though itâs infuriating every time.
I consider the marginal cost thing to be one of the best acts from the EU. Maybe not in France, but overall it rewards the most efficient energy producer massively, which currently is solar. Those companies can use the excess money to reinvest.
They donât reinvest (in France, I mean). They just cash the money. Keeping EDF as a state-owned monopoly has been working great for France for decades. The same model works great in QuĂ©bec. There was no need to change it. EDF being state-owned, you can require it to invest in whatever you want: give it target on renewables, etc. What we have here instead is parasitic companies. Crushing majority of the production investment still comes from EDF, and their investment capacity is fading as their finances are gutted in the name of an âopen marketâ ideology.
The French government plans to lower the volume of nuclear power sold by the state-owned utility EDF at prices set by the regulator to alternative suppliers under the ARENH (âAccĂšs rĂ©gulĂ© Ă l'Ă©lectricitĂ© nuclĂ©aire historiqueâ) scheme from 120 TWh in 2022 to 100 TWh in 2023 (-17%), in a move that could lead to an increase in electricity prices.
Besides, itâs not a technical limitation on nuclear power, itâs an ecological measure.
The hole in production was due to a corrosion problem detected in several reactors, which occurred at the same time as maintenance work in other reactors that were behind schedule because of COVID. This would have had no impact if nuclear power had not been left virtually abandoned for 30 years because of the anti-nuclear movement.
Itâs the classic story: anti-nukes shoot nuclear power in the foot, then claim that nuclear power doesnât work, despite reality.
Most of it can be recycled (as in used for other nuclear products or services like MRI machines), but it doesnât because of fear of weaponization. What canât be recycled can be buried.
See these videos for more info on nuclear energy. The first one includes a nukeEâs commentary. His intros are a bit dry, but heâs very informative on kurzgesagtâs content.
This is a complex issue, not just because storing radioactive material is complex, but because the âwasteâ are not a uniform single material. Some have a decaying process of 300 years (90% of the waste, actually), some have a much longer one.
In the beginning of the nuclear era, some wastes were⊠dumped in the ocean (itâs as bad as it sounds). This is fortunately no longer the normal practice. Some dedicated storage sites are used to store them depending on their lifetime.
The latest solution is geologic storage (some caves were found with waste from naturally occurring fission, eons ago, radioactivity never escaped, so letâs just⊠do that?). A site was identified in Finland with a hope it can store them for 100,000 years (of course, we donât have any reference that would last that longâŠ). And the good thing is the storage is âreversibleâ for the first 100 years (if we change our mind/find better, we can still retrieve the waste during the first 100 years).
Finally, and that will resonate with @[email protected] comment: France had a 4th generation prototype reactor called SuperPhenix. Particularity of a 4th gen reactor is it can use some wastes to produce more energy. SuperPhenix being a prototype, it suffered from many issues through its lifetime. But at the end, it had a 90% uptime, and though it wasnât generating a lot of power (that was never the goal, remember: developmentâŠ), some reports were recommending to keep it up so that it could have processed part of the existing nuclear waste.
To appeal to the ecologists party allied to the socialist Prime Minister at that time, SuperPhenix was definitely shutdown in 1997. And now, the same ecologists use the nuclear wastes issue as a big reason to push back any plan on nuclear power.
The question of nuclear waste is an extremely minor problem compared to the ecological issues weâre facing, and which weâve been addressing for decades.
Anti-nuclear people just prefer to cover their ears and pretend itâs an insolvable problem.