Good neighborship
Good neighborship
They had a level 4
Interestingly I don't seem to see a level 4 on the English page for France:
German green party
Nuclear plants:đ€ź
Carbon plants (that actually produce more radiation that nuclear plants): đ„°
Youâre certainly right that their handling of nuclear was inefficient for reducing carbon output.
Iâm pretty pro nuclear, but I donât think that really takes away from their success in pushing renewables forward, they were a very early adopter of solar thanks to their very generous subsidies and probably helped fuel its growth at a faster rate, so regardless of their unfortunate paranoia around nuclear, they do deserve some praise. Perfect is the enemy of good, and given the speed the world has responded to climate change, Germanys mixed and painful transition was certainly not the worst.
The problem with solar is going to be scaling it to meet power demands. Never mind the fact that solar companies are cutting down trees to make way for solar fields.
Nuclear energy and hopefully nuclear fusion will be the future
What? Is there a good alternative? If we could magically make the world 100% renewable+nuclear in only 14 years that would be amazing I think. It would not solve everything, but sometimes it takes a bit to stop the bleeding before healing can start (carbon capture and planting trees during nuclear construction maybe?)
Is there a faster way?
The life-cycle emissions from nuclear are better than PV, but itâs still not as good as wind or hydro. But the issue is that itâs massively front loaded - you have huge emissions during construction that are slowly undone over the decades of operation. But we canât afford to ramp up emissions for the next 14+ years (both the emissions of building a nuclear plant, and the fact that the existing coal/gas plants will have to run for another 14 years). If you switch to renewables, you can reduce emissions this year, not in the 2050s.
And there is absolutely no way youâre going to repurpose a fission plant into a fusion plant. They have basically nothing in common apart from the name.
This might be true for large reactors but I donât think it will hold true with small modular reactors. We need the stability of nuclear too, as power demands overall rise.
Renewables should definitely be a priority still, but nuclear shouldnât be kicked out of the conversation.
These decisions are mainly rooted in the peace movement of the 80s (fueled by the nuclear missiles in Germany installed by the US) and the direct experience of Tschernobyl. Its supported by the majority in the public.
The current political decision was made by the more conservative government.
I think there is also an important cultural difference between Germany and France that led to different nuclear program.
In the German political system there is strong regional and local governments and a weaker federal government that holds all that together.
In the French political system there a very strong centralized government and regional or local government donât have much power.
Nuclear worked very well in France because of that. Nuclear energy need to be organized at a national level, German prefer energy that can be deployed locally or regionally.
I like the the Greens, but they actually initiated the phase out the last time they ruled 20 years ago. One of their core ideologies was the opposition of nuclear power.
But they were also for a coal phaseout. They arenât responsible for how atomic plants got replaced and that the phaseout got changed into specific dates, they implemented a more flexible phaseout.
A later government decided to slowly replace coal plants with gas plants and keep those coal plants in standby for emergencies for some time. Which is what triggered last year, as those standby plants fired up again when gas plants became unreliable.
France has been importing more electricity than exporting in 2022 because their nuclear reactors canât perform in the heat resulting from climate change. And this is more likely to happen again as each year becomes hotter.
Iâm not sure where this fetishism for Franceâs nuclear energy is coming from.
Youâre quoting 2022 because >30% of the reactrors were taken offline for maintenance. Their also shutting down nuclear reactors.
This is not an inherant problem with nuclear, but because the French government hasnât invested since the 70s.
If funding wasnât cut (due to environmental activists), the output would be more than needed.
Nuclear is still our best bet for combatting climate change and reducing carbon emissions.
Im quoting 2022 because this was last year. As in, the most recent year.
I donât disagree that we should have phased out coal instead of nuclear first. But what has happened has happened. I do disagree that we need a ânuclear renessainceâ now, because neither the economics nor the timelines work out at this point in time. Solar and wind is cheaper, faster to build, and more flexible as you can iterate on their designs MUCH more quickly than nuclear plants. Thatâs the main reason why solar panel efficiency is going through the roof.
Why cannibalize the investments in what obviously works?
As far as I can tell, there is no time with no sun AND no wind: ec.europa.eu/eurostat/âŠ/index.php?title=Energy_stâŠ
In fact, there are multiple studies claiming that you can very well supply base load with renewables, for instance this one:
ceem.unsw.edu.au/âŠ/MarkBaseloadFallacyANZSEE.pdf
One other problem with nuclear is that it has to run at a fixed electricity level, and canât be scaled down if there is eg. lots of solar power being generated. In this case, you have to scale down renewables to make sure you can use the nuclear power, which makes it clash with the eventual goal to power everything with renewables.
I donât know who, in his sane mind, can claim there will never be periods of time with no sun and no wind at the same time. notrickszone.com/âŠ/plunging-towards-darkness-germâŠ
You need a pilotable generator matching renewables. You canât do without it. The only question is how much of it you need to plan. Existing approaches are storage: batteries, hydro where itâs possible (you pump the water up a dam to store back energy) and backup generators: coal, gas, and in some future plans, hydrogen.
None of these is a perfect solution (well, nothing is a perfect solution).
It is not completely true that nuclear needs to run at fixed level. Depending on their design, some plants are pilotable and some are not. But I donât think (Iâll be happily corrected if needed) any had the flexibility you need to be used with renewable (quick large variations).
So the ideal mix is, IMHO, a baseline provided by nuclear, and a mix of renewable and complements to produce the difference.
Bonus: there is a âmethodâ promoted by some (ignorant) politics they call âproliferationâ (âfoisonnementâ, not sure Iâm translating that the best). This is utter BSâŠ
The idea is there will always be sun or wind somewhere in a super-grid spreading through Europe. If you think about it for 1 minute, that means that small part of Europe where there is wind will power, for a more or less short time, a large portion of the whole Europe?? Not only is that totally insane from the capacity point of view, but it also completely neglects the gridâs stability and electricity transportation issue. It is very difficult to transport electricity over very large distances without disturbing the grid. Ask Germany, they spend massively on infrastructures right now without counting on proliferation. That would raise the requirements furtherâŠ
Good Post overall, no need to attack my sanity though :-)
I agree with most of this in principle. Having 100% base load with renewables is an aspirational goal - for now - but nevertheless achievable, I believe. You will find that the sun does, in fact, always shine (somewhere on the planet), and that wind almost always blows (somewhere on the planet). Admittedly, wind is more prevalent throughout the day than sun, but still.
There have been recent discoveries of superconductors that might help transport the electricity where it is needed. But again, this is all in the medium to long term future.
But of course, short to medium term, and long term too, energy storage will play a huge role. I expect massive development in this area, as this is being iterated on anyway, eg. for EVs.
Good Post overall, no need to attack my sanity though :-)
I was not targeting you, rather the idea itself. But it came out terrible and there are definitely better way to express an opinion. So my apologies for that one!
Actually, in a nuclear power plan, except the tank itself (not sure Iâm translating âcuveâ properly, every part can be upgraded.
âLifetime exceededâ in a nuclear reactor is a misleading statement. The truth is we donât know how long they can last. We know some minimum lifetimes only, by being cautious.
Example: you build the first plants, and you âslapâ them with a 40 years lifetime. Why 40 years? Because we have enough records and historical data to back the structure and materials with enough confidence they will last 40 years at least. Beyond 40 years, we start venturing in uncertainty. That doesnât mean we even trust the 40 years. Every 10 years, a power plant is getting fully audited to get an authorization to run for the next 10 years (and there are less deep regular audits as well).
Later, with more data, and more reference, you can establish that the structure and material have proven to have an even longer lifetime, and you can extend it (50, 60 years). It may come with extra-conditions, though. But there is a certain confidence that with the proper funding, France could keep its plants up and running for a lot longer than the initial 40 years.
Ironically, France shutdown the oldest reactors that just had received the very latest upgrade, making it also the most modern reactors in service.
How do you even define that? Nuclear is more expensive than renewables, if you factor in construction and maintenance cost. It only works because it has been massively subdisidized.
Or do you have some source that this energy is âcheaperâ? Please be aware that France caps their electricity prices internally and subsidizes them with taxes (which is fine, but makes the prices incomparable to other countries).
Are you pretending that renewable are not subsidised? Renewable are young yet, how will the prices do in 10 years when they will start to be maintained and replaced? What about the energy you need to complement renewable? Is it considered in their price or not? Do you consider the price of renewable when theyâre cheap because of overproduction?
Youâre like âdid you consider factors a, b, c, d?â and then link to an article that explicitly ignores all of those factors and compares only the amortized cost of the construction of the plants, omitting all other operating costs.
We omit the higher operational costs for the nuclear power plant as they are an economic benefit as well. These costs are recycled back into the economy through wages and taxes.
On top of that, this argument is a classic economic fallacy. Itâs a little bit like saying âbreaking windows is an economic benefit because people will pay glass makers to fix them and so money flows back into the economy.â It completely ignores opportunity costs.
I havenât seen any levelized cost of electricity study that makes nuclear competitive with wind and solar power. Now Iâm not against nuclear power in principle, and as the renewable share goes up grid operators might be willing to pay a premium to subsidize reliable nuclear base load generators.
However the economic proposition I just cannot see. The long lifetime is actually working against nuclear plants here as potential investors assume much greater risk, combined with enormous up-front construction costs. Who wants to invest billions of dollars to bet on electricity prices 60 years into the future? Lots of things can happen in that time.