Ken WhiteJul 31, 2023

Some people have been sending me, or commenting with, alternate takes on what happened with the Hunter Biden plea deal.

I’m not certain I am right on my take, which I view as only the most likely scenario. That’s in part because I believe my experience leads me to wield Occam’s Razor differently — I don’t think some of the scenarios proposed can be called the “simplest,” based on my experience with the system. But I could be wrong.

/1

Show threadKen WhiteJul 31, 2023
/2 In judging other people’s takes, I respectfully invite you to consider (1) does the author have training and experience with the procedures at issue, (2) does the author insist that their interpretation is the only plausible one, (3) is the tone hysterical, and (4) does the conclusion align 100% with the priors of the author.
Show threadCharles Herold

@Popehat So wait, you're saying you shouldn't just embrace the take that aligns most closely with *your* priors?

That will revolutionize social media!

Jul 31, 2023 at 12:45amWeb
Show threadexcited for the mastodon riseAug 3, 2023
@cherold @Popehat he's personally kinda bad at that though