We at BloombergNEF increased our global forecast for solar new build this year to 389GW(DC), mainly because of China looking like doing 209GW (though I also upped South Africa to 5GW and cut the buffer).

@solar_chase

Good news!

Ceterum censeo: We'll have to reduce burning fossil carbon as fast as possible.

@solar_chase why is the growth slowing post-2023, compared to 2018-2023?
@GreenFire @solar_chase it’s not degrowth. I don’t know you so I don’t want to go straight to what could be mansplaining, but I can explain why if you want?

@Brendanjones @solar_chase
I don't think that the actual growth rate of #Solar deployment is going to slow down. I think they're just being conservative.

I just mentioned degrowth since your profile focuses so much on it.

@GreenFire @solar_chase Even if the growth rate was slowing, it wouldn't be a intentional reduction in order to reduce material throughput and therefore environmental impact, so it wouldn't be degrowth. It'd just be ... a reduction.
@Brendanjones it's harder to grow from a big base. We are also hitting bottlenecks - not dead stops, but tricky things to navigate and areas where other things need to catch up - around grid access and lack of flexibility of demand.