I'm finding it a little hard to work today with this in my head.

Antarctic ice extent is now 6.4 standard deviations below the mean. That is, I'm reliably told, a one in 13 billion year event.

We're about to see a lot of shit hit a lot of fans. And we are far from ready.

Business as usual is over. Politics as usual is over. We need to be putting our effort into building systems that can help us survive what greed and power and wilful blindness have wrought.

#ClimateCrisis #Antarctica

@timhollo Highly recommend this piece by @micefearboggis and linked to in the piece essay by @ZLabe for good context on #SeaIce and #statistics

Which is not to say it's not unusual or worrying but yeah ... we still don't know enough about #Antarctica and it's place in the #Climate system.

https://wp.me/p4K9DA-198

A non standard deviation

A graph has been doing the rounds on the website formally known as Twitter. It tracks how far below the long-term average Antarctic sea-ice extent is on a daily basis in terms of “standard de…

Diagram Monkey

@Ruth_Mottram @micefearboggis @ZLabe yeah, thanks for that useful blog, and I totally get the point. I’m not personally a scientist, but have been working in the field of environmental and climate advocacy and activism for 25 years, and have a very solid understanding of the uncertainties, what we know we know and what we know we don’t know.

I guess my point here is that, if we were relying on this one data point to make statements that things are dire, that would be dumb and misleading.

But as one new data point in a gathering storm of data that is showing we’re rapidly tipping into completely new territory, it is a valid thing to look at with serious concern, I would have thought.

@timhollo @micefearboggis @ZLabe oh for sure. As Zack points out, we're going to be studying this year's low #SeaIce for *years* and it's definitely a very interesting (in the Chinese curse sense) weather/climate event scientifically speaking. It will also hopefully help us to better understand the system. (Working on a paper right now that's related in fact..)