# BRIEFLY NOTED: For 2023-07-23 Su
China's middle-income economic & political-economic trap; global warming & southwest USA; & Bhandari, Davies, & Janeway on raging misogynist EJMRniks, Goodhart's Law, & radical uncertainty...
<https://braddelong.substack.com/p/briefly-noted-for-2023-07-23-su>
2023-07-23 Su
@delong One of the things that my amateur reading finds in climate science papers that does not make the news summarizes as "this is what we did already"; it's not what we're doing now, it's a big system, it's got a lot of lag on a scale of human lifespans.
If the Arctic amplification feedback process tipped around 2000, the weather we have now is what we did on the way to three-hundred-ish ppm atmospheric CO2.
One could wish the possibility was making it into people's insurance calculations.
My memory is a little different, in that twenty years ago this was a common warning from those trying to spur action. Unfortunately, the media environment of that era was such that those warnings were downplayed or derided to the point that they died on the vine.
My continuing concern is that the economic actors whose ongoing viability requires fossil fuels will still find fertile ground for their arguments that we should go slowly, for whatever reasons.
delong
Graydon
D³