Column from Paul Krugman that begins asking why some rich Silicon Valley elites are supporting the kooky Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and ends in a different place. Are they just cynically using him to undermine the Democratic Party, or do they sincerely believe the crazy things they're saying?

Krugman argues that it's at least partly the latter, that rich elites are disproportionately likely to be crazy, and for an interesting reason: they're unusually likely to fall victim to reflexive contrarianism, because it was part of their success.

“One sad but true fact of life is that most of the time conventional wisdom and expert opinion are right; yet there can be big personal and social payoffs to finding the places where they’re wrong. The trick to achieving these payoffs is to balance on the knife edge between excessive skepticism of unorthodoxy and excessive credulity.

It’s all too easy to fall off that knife’s edge in either direction.”

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/06/opinion/robert-kennedy-jr-silicon-valley.html

#krugman #politics #SiliconValley #contrarianism

Opinion | The Rich Are Crazy for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Why does Silicon Valley love RFK Jr.?

The New York Times
@austern a terrible aspect of the Survivor Effect is that the payoff for lucky contrarianism is a habit for reflexive contrarianism, amplified by riches and influence? :(
@jmeowmeow Yeah, I think that's an important part of it. Most of the kooky contrarians just disappear without a trace, but we hear from the few whose contrarianness once happened to be in the right time and place.
@austern both, and that they know that normies yearn for an "authority" like RFK Jr. they can use to not have to give a damn about other humans.