Hynek SchlawackJul 6, 2023

Threads hot takes:

- given it’s jankiness & current size, absolutely nobody will care about Bsky in 6 months.
- if we get federation with Threads (big if), it’s the best thing we can hope for social network-wise. Being able to follow normies on our terms!? Yes, please!? It might actually bring users in that hate Threads’ interface.
- Threads has apparently ~5x users after being live for 1 day & Mastodon active users are languishing at best: https://mastodon-analytics.com/ This isn’t even a competition.

Mastodon Analytics

How many users, active users, servers are on Mastodon?

Mastodon Analytics
Show threadJeff TriplettJul 6, 2023

@hynek Instagram has over 1.4 billion active users a month that seem to mostly like the platform. Last I saw, Twitter had maybe 400 to 500 million but dropping active users.

Threads is likely to be bigger than Twitter by the end of the year. 🍿

Show threadHynek SchlawackJul 6, 2023
@webology wasn’t it more like 100 million? and barely anyone is left from my bubbles given my TL
Show threadJeff Triplett

@hynek Looks like I was off but in the other direction and it's over 2 billion active users a month as of last October. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-26/meta-s-instagram-users-reach-2-billion-closing-in-on-facebook

I believe it. My friends and family who don't post anywhere else live on that website.

So Threads has a lot of potential in eclipsing Twitter sooner than most people think if it takes for Instagram users alone.

Meta’s Instagram Users Reach 2 Billion, Closing In on Facebook (META)

Bloomberg
Jul 6, 2023 at 5:04pmWeb
Show threadJeff TriplettJul 7, 2023
@hynek called it but I didn't expect 70 million signups in 24 hours. Wow. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/07/metas-twitter-rival-threads-surpasses-50-million-signups-screenshots.html