Notwithstanding the angst of some politicians or analysts about developments in the Ukrainian offensives, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are making steady, if not rapid, progress. It is much too early to judge the Ukrainian 2023 offensives a success or failure just yet.

My latest assessment of the Ukrainian offensives at Futura Doctrina.

#Ukraine #military #strategy #leadership

https://mickryan.substack.com/p/the-ongoing-ukrainian-offensives

The Ongoing Ukrainian Offensives

A Steady, if not Rapid, Progression

Futura Doctrina

@WarInTheFuture I also found this video to be a particularly helpful source with a lot of interesting detail and well presented analysis. Curious to know if you were aware of it at all?

https://youtu.be/olH2-_Gtczw

Ukraine's Counter Offensive (So far) - Attrition, Adaptation & What Next?

YouTube
@WarInTheFuture Mark Milley warned for this. I think it will be very hard for Ukraine to reclaim lost territory.
@WarInTheFuture
What makes me optimistic is the numbers of destroyed artillery and support vehicles. It have been high throughout the offensive and the weeks before. I suspect that Ukraine attacks with low intensity, but enough to force the Russians to bring forth their artillery, so it can be spotted and destroyed. I expect Ukraine to attack with full force once the Russian artillery and forward logistic capability have been deminished.