Discussion: Do you think recent Twitter mess up will cause new wave of #TwitterMigration?

https://lemmy.world/post/921746

Discussion: Do you think recent Twitter mess up will cause new wave of #TwitterMigration? - Lemmy.world

I honestly think it sure will. People will probably go in 3 directions: * Mastodon * Wait for Bluesky * Wait for Instagram “Threads” Honestly, if people go fediverse way, they definitely should choose something like Misskey/Calckey. They’re much better options than mastodon IMO

New signups have been crashing Cohost for much of this morning, and it looks like a lot of folks are seeing new Mastodon users as well
Mastodon is best for sure!
Mastodon is good. But I find Calckey more appealing for average “Twitter user”. Again, it’s only my personal opinion
Been on mastodon for a couple of years. It’s excellent.

I think we shouldn’t expect to see the same sort of migration from Twitter to Mastodon like we did for Reddit to Lemmy. Because of network effects, Mastodon will have a much harder time attracting refugees. What you can hope for is more of a slow drip as Twitter users get fed up with the platform. Every migrant to Mastodon makes it that much easier for the remaining Twitter users to move as well.

I’m hopeful but I wouldn’t count on it.

Consider the case where Twitter dies all at once. I really think we’re headed in that direction.
They went from 500 new users an hour to 4000 new users an hour in the past day. Im sure it's all due to Twitter. Now, how many people will stick with it and become active users is anyone's guess.
Mastodon is very stable and just excellent.
I don’t see how it doesn’t. I think the scenario in which Twitter survives through the end of the year is pretty much impossible at this point without significant outside financial intervention.
Which…. Unfortunately I could see happening
The problem with Mastodon is that they don’t have very many major entities actively making posts. The main thing I track on twitter is OSINT and US politics, and that community basically doesn’t exist on Mastodon right now
That explains why it feels so empty, I can't find any actual content on Mastodon despite how huge it supposedly is compared to Kbin and Lemmy
It takes a while to get it going. I go to the full federation feed and follow different users that I discover there, and also sometimes people that they follow.. And I also follow some big news sources like Reuters. Eventually my followed feed has built up - it's almost too many posts.
I follow some major news sources on Mastodon (Reuters, NYT, WaPo, Guardian, and more). Im in NYC so I also follow transit alerts, one of the main reasons I had previously used Twitter.
I imagine that anyone who has persevered through the delirium so far is there to stay.

I’d say no, honestly. It’s just as matter of when Elon finally breaches the Trust Thermocline. That’s when people who had the most invested finally get fed up and leave. Judging by how many people who made Mastodon accounts but decided to start with Twitter are using them today, I’d say if he hasn’t breached it with this, it’s coming sooner rather than later.

The Trust Thermocline

The Trust Thermocline Explains How Companies “Suddenly” Lose Customers And Employees

You Will Not Get A Second Chance To Burn Trust

Medium

I doubt it, at least for the people that actually "matter" and have huge followings or use twitter for promotion and their businesses. However, I hope it's enough to at least get them to crosspost to mastodon? I've seen smaller content creators start to do it so maybe it catches on.

Twitter wont die overnight (no matter how funny that would be), the best we can hope for is gradual shifting elsewhere.

At least small artists have been really signing up since last night/this morning on mastodon.art. It is already causing a wave. Calckey is trying to grab more people, but half the shit doesn't load for me right now so they can't take the brunt of it.
I have seen posts on Tumblr from people who went (back) there because of the Twitter situation, so there is an additional direction.

Calckey should absolutely be pushed for potential replacement, since it mirrors more closely the experience that Twitter users are used to.

I don’t think we’ll see a major migration, though. I think Twitter falling will just result in more fragmentation. I don’t think we’ll ever have a case like before where there’s ONE major social media platform that everyone goes to (which is why ActivityPub is so important).