Daniel Rubin ✅@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
@plutus Tell Luke Groman and Sean Russia is in a massive economic recession. Still waiting for the US job losses that he said would result
John Serwach ✅@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
I’m concerned Ukraine might not have sufficient ammunition to mount a sustained counter attack. Which is bizarre that we have gone thru so much ammo after preparing for 50 years for WWIII
ForeignSubstance ✅@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus After 1991, no one thought "the commies are coming thru the Fulda Gap". Javelins came just after that date, and not in huge bulk, plus they've been improved since.
Few imagined years of artillery duels, cuz the thinking was it would turn into missiles before that much time elapsed.
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus The situation is not good at all. Even raw Russian conscripts can build defensive positions, and in depth. See, Kursk, battle of.
Aid is insufficient, and late. Little or no striking into Russia. I'm sorry, you cannot win this way with limited manpower to boot.
Best chance? Prolly to lure RA into an ill-advised advance & then win a huge battle of maneuver.
Meanwhile, UA bleeds.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12
I think the problem with the aid is the way we have slowly ratcheted up more advanced systems. Russia OTOH seems to have a severe manpower problem. Of course having had this discussion the Uk will probably launch a massive assault and retake crimea. Proving us both wrong again.
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 And we agree about the aid. I said "insufficient, and late".
UA needs to kill about 8 Russians for every UA soldier lost. Three isn't going to make it, and it's likely they are not getting even that. We don't know, because sensibly, UA won't say.
@plutus @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance I’m not sure Russia has that kind of depth- in theory they could but it might cause a revolution or worse- they would still fail.
Their “fresh” recruits should be trained and ready to go, in fact they should have trained a lot of recruits but—- we’re not seeing that and they can’t even get them uniforms and food/rations. Wagner is even running out.
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 I think Wagner is being deliberately bled ... by the Putin/FSB clique. They don't want any organized, armed, competition when this ends.
@johnserwach @plutus @rubecube12 I think it's really hard to have a revolution, too, when every TV station is "Fox News" on steroids. Dissent? Sure. There will always be that. But it's small, and disorganized, and likely to stay that way.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @johnserwach
You get an economic depression big enough and revolution is the result. Just give it a few years. Tsarist Russia found out. They had tight grip on the media
@rubecube12 @plutus @johnserwach As long as they are selling oil ... "big enough" is likely to not be big enough.
I know what you are saying. But the US always thinks its opponents are domestically weak.
The Nazis persevered through day & night bombing. Japan had to be nuked—twice.
People rally 'round the flag. It has to be *really* *really* *really* bad, and even then it's probably not gonna be bad enough.
US hubris about this seems to never subside.
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus germany and Japan had some pride- russias had what, 2-4 revolutions/coups in the last 100 years ? Depending on how u score it. 1917, 1991, 93, 99 ??? They’re overdue! I guess germany had Valkyrie and Japan had the Kyūjō incident (the anti-coup)
Plutus@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance told you Bragg is weak sauce. The goal is to get him on Russia and insurrection not grift girls. Bragg was out for a political job - dems should’ve reigned him in now magas decrying more grievance. https://twitter.com/cenkuygur/status/1639074070800261120?s=46&t=myUg8E_NfUxKRXrtk0UUnw
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Alright-
What’s in your pocket? Show me yours - I’ll show mine—-
https://www.wsj.com/articles/edc-everyday-carry-reddit-pocket-essentials-8f87d3bd
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @plutus There's something in the water in Michigan? (I mean something *else*!) 😂
https://thetriad.thebulwark.com/i/110275239/michigan-republicans-rising
Hélène Grimaud plays BEETHOVEN: Piano Concerto # 5 / Paavo Järvi -Frankfort Symphony
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
will pivot in due time away from trans kids - libs need new charismatic blood
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
I agree with Noah
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
Who could've known...
They wanted the Jewish Trump, well they got 'em
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Just when I was about to delete the app, they PULL me back in!!!!😂😂😂
Jon Stewart: This is why Trump became popular in the first place
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
DAN!! No more condoms damn it! We need numbers !!!!!
@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
Yeah old people dying. Houses being inherited by young people who can now start families
@plutus @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Counting on you for six to eight kids brother 😂😂😂- Maybe it’s time we bring back “plural” marriage!! You could have three kids with each wife.
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Dating scene in the Mormon community should be easier - time for conversion Danny
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
100% !! My life would be so much easier & richer if I had just been born Mormon 😢 I could have 3-4 wives by now and be truly happy- life is cruel.
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12 OMG- I was just talking about “I don’t like Mondays” about 14 hours ago… 🤦🏻♂️
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
Everywhere everyday - full lockdown is coming
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @rubecube12
This is one of the most difficult to bear things I have ever read—
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @rubecube12
John - I'm beside myself laughing when I look at this chart. Danny says boomers are excessive - how entitled do you have to be to pay $7 to $20 for McDonald's delivery LMFAO. This shit wouldn't have survived in prior decades.
@rubecube12 @plutus @ForeignSubstance
When I was young (in the 80’s) a Big Mac meal was $2.99- I would make a steak dinner at home before I would pay that for McDonald’s!!! I legit cannot figure out how these places are staying in business
@johnserwach @rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance
"Old fooks are forcing me to spend $20 on MCD delivery" - when Danny adopts MAGA logic... I am afraid for our society Johnny
@plutus @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
Elon ended free views of twitter
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
It’s up to you to get a burner Twitter account then
@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
Not going to. Would rather see that place burn along with all the nazi supporters who habitate it
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
It's amazing how Donnie had a free for all for the fucking rich (PPP/this shit) and no one bitches about it - not the soccer moms not the dems. Why is there no recrimination from progressives - b/c many are corporate hacks that you should be the one demonizing not me.
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
No one except for me ever complain about this shit - why is that Danny. I aint even talking about supposed moderates I am talking about libtards like you.
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
You have the nerve to say that I want to enrich the affluent by stop hiking rates? Are you serious
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
You are like those French kids shooting up Champs-Élysées (kind of like Bernie bros) never targeting the right areas of malfeasance
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Lower rates increases income disparity. Poor stay poor while the rich get richer. At least with high rates rich have to earn their money
@ForeignSubstance @plutus @johnserwach
Who said I'm demonizing you?
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
I don't see you bringing up the unfairness
Those Trump programs have done more to drive wealth disparity than anything other GOP potus have done since Regan combined
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
NO ONE COMPLAINS except me Danny - Why???
@ForeignSubstance @johnserwach @plutus
We should tax the rich and claw back that PPP. I agree. They need to pay the insurance premium
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
I’ve been literally calling out these obscenities for 5 years and no one says or does anything least of which progressive dems.
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
There's something seriously wrong with a country who bemoan why destitute students can delay paying loans when the rich are getting handed millions monthly. You think Democrats are fully aware of this shit. Disparity based on achievement is a good thing, when you have a system where only wealth begets more wealth - you sow the seeds of your own demise.
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
This empowers nazis like Le Pen b/c soccer moms will reflexively vote for extreme right than the left. https://youtu.be/yzo4v-dO0uY
See the fiery riots in France after teen shot dead by police
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
Got booted from Twitter b/c of this lol - this douchebag is rare
@plutus @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
Yup. I got booted for much less
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
Mastadon at 12 million accounts. 40% growth in 3 months
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
schmidt defending biden https://steveschmidt.substack.com/p/the-2024-election-stakes-are-so-high
I am very worried about 2024
What is the gravest threat facing America? Do we face foreign invasion? Could China subjugate America? Could Russia? The EU? Canada? (Happy Canada Day, by the way, to those who celebrate. I’ll be celebrating in Ottawa.) The answer is “no” to all of the above. It is an impossibility.
@rubecube12 @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
nonstop right wing bs on my other account timelines
@plutus @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
Elon gonna have to sell more tesla stock. Nobody gonna pay for tweets
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
The kind of quality content I'm getting on my timeline every few seconds
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
We are getting a very gentle taste of what it's like living under an autocrat. Constantly under the thumb & very whimsical indeed.
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @plutus
And you pay for that?
@ForeignSubstance @rubecube12 @plutus
Feel good story
@ForeignSubstance @rubecube12 @johnserwach
Bill Browder - clarity of vision
https://youtu.be/31n65G2KI4k
Bill Browder: The future of Russia after the war
@ForeignSubstance @rubecube12 @johnserwach
Kara-Murza the Solzhenitsyn of our time
https://youtu.be/Hxbmg6jco7I
For those who think the West overstepped b/c of this "Nato encroachment on RUS sovereignty" trope - KM contends that it is the very opposite - that we haven't been punitive enough on dictators like Putin/Xi that has led directly to abuse on top of abuse.
Podcast Episode One: The Other Vladimir
@ForeignSubstance @rubecube12 @johnserwach
Kara-Murza of course is absolutely right objectively speaking.-These points were never debatable on fundamental grounds. It's the reasoning and goals of the observers that are in diametric opposition.
@rubecube12 @ForeignSubstance @johnserwach
You can never grow out of your pettiness can you Daniel
@johnserwach @ForeignSubstance @plutus
Imagine all the people living for today
@ForeignSubstance @rubecube12 @johnserwach
Gulag Archipelago if you are interested in reading...
https://www.dropbox.com/s/3dcf0gm2qj110i9/Gulag%20Archipelago.pdf?dl=0
@plutus @johnserwach @ForeignSubstance
https://www.instagram.com/reel/CuCoykbunEZ/?igshid=YmM0MjE2YWMzOA==
MSNBC on Instagram: "#DonaldTrump’s fiery interview with #FoxNew’s #BretBaier as compared to the damning #tape of Trump that was used as evidence in his #indictment."
5,312 likes, 1,026 comments - MSNBC (@msnbc) on Instagram: "#DonaldTrump’s fiery interview with #FoxNew’s #BretBaier as compared to the damning #tape of ..."
@ForeignSubstance @rubecube12 @johnserwach
Society is obsessed with these self-absorbed narcissist where everyone else revolves around them. And we wonder why there are so many dictators
https://youtu.be/bZik_ZaF4sM
Norman Mailer interview (1991)
Ep. 1: The Corruption of Lindsey Graham | The Bulwark Podcast
@johnserwach @plutus @ForeignSubstance
Yeah its very unfair all these billionares got million dollar loans forgiven at 90% while we force college students to hold on to their debt for their lifetime. And there is no way yo discharge that debt in bankruptcy. Very unfair. This dude got 3 million dollars. Forgiven. Why cant he go bankrupt.
https://www.federalpay.org/paycheck-protection-program/mangos-tropical-cafe-llc-miami-beach-fl