Found something remarkable (and also quite sad).

In 1997, Wired published "The Long Boom", a hyper-optimistic article about how we'd achieve Utopia by 2020.

The authors included notes on some "scenario spoilers"—negative events that might send is in a worse direction.

...and those spoilers turned out to be almost spookily accurate.

https://www.wired.com/1997/07/longboom/

@ThisWeekInThe90s Eh.

2: They actually haven’t been a bust, but the economic boom from it has all gone to the wealthy.

3: Russia was already a kleptocracy run by mafia-types and has always been xenophobic.

4: Depends on your definition of Eastern Europe, but many joined in 2004, with the latest in 2013 being Croatia. Yes, Brexit, but the EU is carrying on fine without it.

6: Crime is still largely down in the US at least, and terrorism is no worse than in 97.

@ThisWeekInThe90s
7: Cancer has not overwhelmed our health system. (And “ill-prepared” is a very USian POV.)

8: Hasn’t happened, even with continued unrest in the Middle East. Alternate energy sources continue to grow.

9: Covid was bad, but only 1/10 as bad as that estimate.

10: Yes there is pushback, especially in the US and UK, but not to the extent that progress has stopped.

Which means 1 right, and it took 24-25 years to really heat up.

@ThisWeekInThe90s Some of the things feel more real than they actually are. Even our near-peer contest with China hasn’t done much to dampen things. The true culprit is, imo, the advances in technology making the rich richer, as well as (in the US at least) our failure to tax them at a reasonable rate.
@queenofnewyork
...& that's a HUGE miss on their part, since the premise of the whole thing is that the New Economy would democritize everything.
@ThisWeekInThe90s
@FeralRobots @queenofnewyork @ThisWeekInThe90s whereas instead it has only accelerated the movement of wealth to the (top fraction of) 1%.
@sspopovich
I didn't understand their reasoning at the time & don't understand it now*, but Kelly for one has repeatedly doubled-down on it.
🤷
@queenofnewyork @ThisWeekInThe90s
_
*I'm probably giving them too much credit for intellectual honesty.