While most experts believe #Putin will hold on to power, for now, there is recognition that the West needs to consider a scenario where he is replaced. Powerful figures within #Putin’s orbit and the #FSB intelligence service are likely already eyeing the unfolding events — and #Putin’s muddled response — to spot any opportunity.

#Russia #Ukraine #Wagner #Prigozhin #Putin @ukraine @geopolitics

https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-war-ukraine-vladimir-putin-future/

Gaming out Russia’s future

A succession fight involving nukes, a private military up for grabs, an ascendant Belarus — it’s all on the table in a post-Wagner mutiny world.

POLITICO

@Jigsaw_You @ukraine @geopolitics It's highly unlikely, that all layers of Russian leadership - not to mention the Russian people as a whole - would like to be personae non gratae in the countries of the free world forever.
And if they didn't commit & support war crimes, crimes against humanity, genocide & didn't start wars of aggression, will accept the rules, laws, norms & values of the international community and pay reparations for the harm & devastation they caused, who knows, there could even be a way back for them into the community of human mankind.

"To initiate a war of aggression, therefore, is not only an international crime; it is the supreme international crime differing only from other war crimes in that it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole."
— International Military Tribunal, Nuremberg 1946 —

#UnitedNations #StandWithUkraine #StandWithHumanity #PutinsWar #WarOfAggression #WarCrimes #Genocide #CrimesAgainstHumanity #CrimesAgainstPeace #InternationalTribunal #ICC #ICJ #RuleOfLaw