As a general rule, coups either coopt major parts of state force to either join in or sit out the conflict in the first few hours or fail quickly, as everyone defaults back to the mean of the status quo ante of state retaining control.

Prigozhin's coup attempt so far has failed to get any declared or ambiguous support, and MOD, FSB, GRU, Rosgvardia, and State media sided with Putin

So for folks thinking this coup will be successful, the chances are very, very strongly against that from here

@Pwnallthethings @DataDrivenMD
What we have here is a game of thrones. Good points but neutrality is expected. It’s just a case of how quickly Prigozhin can get to Moscow.

It doesn’t matter if Putin hides in a bunker, it really is about the throne. Prigozhin needs to appear to be in charge.