The Big Social score so far:
- Twitter: burning
- Reddit: detonated a bomb under itself
- Meta: rumored to join #ActivityPub with a new app
- YouTube: videos were always 2nd to "native" ones on the other networks, but they could trivially open an #ActivityPub firehose (and maintain their preroll ads while doing so)
- rest of Google: never found organic success and don't have a bet in the game apart from wanting to index everything

No predictions here, just stating the obvious. @fediverse

You forgot about *Google+, which Google was pushing hard (forcing YouTube users to have Google+ accounts even!) and then shut down. 😄

Fun fact: Google+ started after the early version of Fediverse, and shuttered years ago. There is continuity on fedi with some instances running continuously since before Google+ was a thing. 👈

Why I quit Twitter… a decade ago

And so it has come to this. I finally quit Twitter… almost exactly a decade ago. I could spin yarn and claim it was some major feat of clairvoyance, of course. That I foresaw all that happened lately

Songs on the Security of Networks
The gross thing about it too was it forced many people on YouTube to switch over from a username to their actual personal name, which was basically one of the only lasting side effects of their push for its attachment to YouTube.
Yeah. Another thing that can't really happen on fedi: nymwars.
Nymwars - Wikipedia