applepie1101010/n
First, read June 2 part1 (PdS1)
https://twitter.com/applepie110101/status/1664713381729763328
https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110476258920413189
@[email protected] ⚙️🔧🇺🇦 on Twitter
“#Ukraine June 2 updates form @escortert Part 1 - #Donbass theater 👇”
1/n
#WarInUkraine D+464 (02/06) PdS2 - All Theaters except #Donbass & Backstage
The time of dilemma has arrived for the state-major🇷🇺: to defend the occupied 🇺🇦 or the attacked 🇷🇺?
The answer will (also) determine the outcome of the offensive.
2/n
Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, pick it up again with N°CDLXIII-II of #GuerreEnUkraine👇
https://twitter.com/applepie110101/status/1664682030129356800
https://mastodon.world/@applepie110101/110475749699637503
3/n
1/Front X, Hyp. Z,
(i) How to recognize an offensive?
In the operative👇 art, which inspires a lot of the #AFU staff, trained at the best 🇷🇺 military academies, strategic victory is the result of a series of operations: shaping, diversion, deception, ...
4/n
The offensive move to break through is only one of a series of operations, but it is essential if we are to recapture lost territory.
It all starts with a ratio of forces that increases on the attacking side until it causes a break in the enemy front line (50 km wide).
5/n
We should observe
-> a build-up of large forces
-> domino collapse of the 🇷🇺 defensive system at the breakthrough point
-> exploitation of the breakthrough on the flanks and in depth
-> coverage of forward forces by other forces
6/n
(ii) diversionary operations, raids
2 motorized infantry companies from the LSR and RDK👇 carried out a 3rd raid (i.e. incursion into target territory followed by withdrawal within a short time) in 🇷🇺 in the direction of #Shabekino
8/n
The troops involved are regular motorized infantry units of the 🇺🇦👇 (LVI) army conducting raids into enemy territory.
They are not 🇷🇺 "resistance fighters" from the inside.
9/n
(the 🇺🇦 who carry out actions in the enemy's depths in 🇺🇦 occupied are).
Moreover, the artillery preparation👇 preceding the attack leaves no doubt as to the starting point of the raid...
10/n
The aim of these raids is twofold:
-military, to force the enemy to dilute its forces over a greater length of front (it has doubled, to 2000 km)
It's bingo: 🇷🇺 troop transfers are underway👇
11/n
-psychological, diminishing confidence in Russian executive to solve security problems
Re-bingo with maximum psy-impact:
- take the war to 🇷🇺👇
- bus evacuations, traffic jams
gunfire in #NovayaTavolzhanka
12/n
- informational response handled at executive level (on the theme that the aggressor is the victim), which opens the door to internal criticism, such as that of #Girkin, who deems the response insufficient
(ii) 🇺🇦 deep strikes
13/n
The #Marioupol-#Berdyansk-#Volnavakya triangle is shelled again by 🇺🇦
#Berdyansk raises great interest👇
an object in the harbor was hit
14/n
#Russia is not forgotten and #Kursk was hit 👇
(iii) 🇷🇺 deep strikes
-targets: #Kyiv, #Kharkiv
-vectors: 10 ground-to-ground ballistic missiles (Iskander-K) launched from #Bryansk and 2 S-300 ground-to-ground ballistic missiles
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1664388038259081216
15/n
-result: 10 Iskander-Ks intercepted (100%) but the 2 S-300s hit
(these short-range 82 km missiles are inaccurate because they have been diverted from their primary ground-to-air function)
16/n
2/Dniepr, left bank & #Crimee,
🇷🇺 artillery fire on the islands of the Dniepr👇 delta.
https://t.co/lsXJHTfUpg
17/n
4/Backstage,
#Russia, Game of #Kremlin Towers
There's water in the gas between #Prigozhin and #Kadyrov, the latter distances himself and the former criticizes the "Akhmat"👇 forces.
Against a backdrop of #Prigozhin's declining credibility with #Putin
Пресс-служба Пригожина
#1731 Публикуем заявление Евгения Пригожина: «Командиры ЧВК «Вагнер» на сегодняшний день в большинстве своем имеют доступ к интернету, поскольку вышли в тыловые лагеря для отдыха, и перегруппировки, и доподготовки. Они внимательно следят, что происходит, с большим удовольствием, поскольку длительное время были оторваны от информации. Многие из них задают вопрос: что происходит, в чем недоразумение и в чем вопросы ко мне и к ЧВК «Вагнер» со стороны руководящих офицеров и деятелей «Ахмат». И для того, чтобы выразить свою точку зрения, они попросили меня, чтобы я дал им возможность состыковать с теми, кто может поставить их высказывания на телеграм-канал «Разгрузка Вагнера». Поэтому они будут скидывать свои мнения по поводу того, что нам говорят, советуют или предъявляют».
18/n
Thx @escortert for this update
Source June 2 part 2
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1664635919540838402
Thx @escortert for this update
Source June 2 part 2
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1664635919540838402
Macette Escortert on Twitter
“17/n 4/Arrière-scène, #Russie, Jeu des Tours du #Kremlin Il y a de l’eau dans le gaz entre #Prigozhin et #Kadyrov, celui-ci prend ses distances et celui-là critique les forces "Akhmat"👇 Dans un contexte où le crédit de #Prigozhin baisse chez #Poutine https://t.co/Nw5y7CJwlE”