Hello there !

1/ While Russians are celebrating like dumb fcks they are the "victory" on #Bakhmut it seems that they keep not understanding the global picture...
well let them "have it" it will be even worse when in couple months down the road they lose it all.

Partial Operational information on 21.05.2023 regarding the #russian_invasion in #Ukraine

2/ double digits still running high
arty numbers... baby !
the trend is obvious ! (land reminds last prep for counter attack in september in Kharkiv and in Kherson later on)
if UKR goes on like that.. RU will never be able to compensate by stock or new productions.

3/ i did not even talked about #Bakhmut yesterday as i refuse to give any credit to Wagner or #Prigozhin
i hate actually how people are just rt (like sheep sometimes), infos from this terrorist organisation.
buzz is a strong drug -addiction is high on Social networks.

anyway so OFFICIALS today says :
(so let's agree that the city is like taken for sure, but "technically" speaking not yet..)
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/05/21/7403162/

Armed Forces of Ukraine still hold several buildings in Bakhmut – official

Ukrainska Pravda

4/ by the way i've seen lots of dumb maps lately about several areas and of course RU maps are way too confident and even some UKR supporters are also doing some wrongs. (because they are just afraid not to "follow" the hype..)

so basically this is what is certain vs what the russians claims (in purple, with nothing to prove it)..

5/ but that would be actually real surprises as it would mean that UKR are just "droping" the flanks so "giving" the road and high ground to #Bohdanivka and #TchassivYar , nullyfying the recent advances there and also giving the lands in direction to #Ivaniske.

we'll see about that.
it could happen if all recent RU reinforcements have a good momentum, but right now, still needs to be confirmed though.

6/ and it seems that guys on the grounds, do agree that pro russians are just enjoying "pure copium" right now....

i rest my case your honor! 😁😉

7/ also just in case you haven't seen it already :
i post it again !
this what the #bakhmut victory is all about :
60/70 kia in 10 months (among them 40 to 50k wagnerites)
(which is only 200/233 kia/day which is totally "on par" with the 30/40km frontline in the area

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1660197183482724355

J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 #UkraineMap on Twitter

“2/ d'ailleurs petit rappel "historique" pour l'éternité il y a un an, apres Marioupol, il devait prendre #Bakhmut en 1 ou 2 mois... voilà le niveau... https://t.co/g4WKqxR4bs”

Twitter

8/ News update : (thanks to my friend Tom!)
very important actually as it tells at least 2 diff major things :

with a small "jeje's explanation" link to it 😉

https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3402206/biden-administration-announces-additional-security-assistance-for-ukraine/

Biden Administration Announces Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine

DOD announced additional security assistance to meet Ukraine's critical security and defense needs.

U.S. Department of Defense
9/ so basically, the major counter offensive will not begin before they receive all these new materials, as they seems essentials to the next phase.
(also remember when i noticed what Zelensky said couple weeks ago that they were waiting heavy important material too, by June..) so that might be a global HINT that UKR are "polishing" the last very little details, just to be sure they have enough to go through whatever is the scenario they will have to deal with !
#Ukrainecounteroffensive
10/ quick additional note as we have just received Ru numbers & all
(also this will certainly be one of the last time i do this here if i go on with this)
so first : NB the 200k -ish Ukr claims, we are certainly more around 150k to 170k ru casualties.
NOTE also that 200 days ago (so no one can come here and claim this was a "fluke" - also no others produced this work) i thought RU would have their "peak" soon (by end of June) - and so it would be perfect time for a counter offensive then.

11/ i have just one "concerned" right now is that basically Ru used a lot of very "low end" manpower like with Wagner recruits but they keep as we speak a lots of their commanders. (but i guess some storm shadows, jdam, himars, glsdb etc, will eventually get them at the first stage of massive counter offensive)

also on a diff note (in Green) note that Ru are no more claiming to destroy Himars etc (as they claimed to have destroyed them all ten times already😂) while we can see actual vid of it

12/ every single day !!!

funny enough also for all the russians & Putin nut'suckers you can notice that UKR MOD did not count the famous RU helos (and jets) that were shot down couple days ago.. (but in Russia)
while Russia counts some HIT on "ghost" jets and helos !

so i think they actually might count them for UKraine 🤣🤣🤣🤪

13/ morning report from Gen staff (so that one is from yesterday, tonight we'll have the one for today)
14/ last recap of alleged losses for both countries
back up for J. like JJ (@[email protected])

Attached: 1 image 1/ Quick update regarding #Bakhmut area Partial Operational information 19.05.2023 on the #russian_invasion in #Ukraine Globally nothig much to say, some minor UkR forward moves toward #Klishchiivka on the south West part are recorded but nothing "secured" now Russians also lost some grounds near #SakkoiVantzetti other areas are more difficult to assess but globally the main UKR seems to be stopped by the whole lots of RU reinforcements that came in

Mastodon
back up for J. like JJ (@[email protected])

11/ Alors maintenant concernant le sujet des F-16 un point tres rapide au delà de toutes les mièvreries que j'entends depuis ce matin.. et tout d'abord cela fait écho à différentes news que nous avions en réalité depuis un bon moment et qui s'inscrivent dans une logique qui est travaillée depuis encore plus longtemps! https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1644790848796672001

Mastodon
J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 #UkraineMap on Twitter

“Bon là je crois que c'est clair. (au pire début 2024) #F16 "oui c'esst pas possible..., 18 mois juste pr les formations..., pas avant la fin de la guerre, toussssa... m'enfin vs n'y pensez pas.. " (paf! 24h après mon mot.. hello les copains sur Babar)”

Twitter
J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 #UkraineMap on Twitter

“#Bakhmut is almost under Ru control Quite the last couple days of combat within the city's limit. Also UKr r still active on the flanks, still progressing in some areas like around #Klishchiivka Also some reports of Wagner receiving support from RU troops coming from #Avdiivka”

Twitter

19/ and that will be it for the recap of this intense (on #Bakhmut area) week

but actually ... really "uneventful" at all! Ru just went though 300m this week and only on 1km front !!

!! try to really understand this !!! not 300m forward on 10km front or 10 areas of 10km front-line !!

no no no... we are witnessing an army of snails with ak47 enjoying their victory on a field of lettuces !!!

https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1658474923248209920

J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 #UkraineMap on Twitter

“Almost "over" ... but the better days are still ahead of us. #Bakhmut https://t.co/PsoI5nm6bQ”

Twitter

20/ i forgot about that one i think

i wanted to complete some thoughts about the entire #missiles #RussianMissiles attack "subject" but did not had time this week..
maybe later.. just putting it this here for further ref.

just need to recount everything and analyze what might be their actual real abilities in that domain. (also need to think about shaheed as well)

https://elk.zone/mastodon.world/@HeliosRunner/110388745556911011

back up for J. like JJ (@[email protected])

Attached: 2 images 1/ - Operational information as of 0600 18.05.2023 regarding the Russian invasion Quite interesting news today as we speak. quick note first : as i'm explaining here for couple weeks, i do believe UA army is doing a "number" on Ru arty systems and all datas and vids confirms it. it is really important, to notice because i do believe that even if UKR is gonna start PART of it's offensive in really close future

Mastodon

21/ Just in !! Commander of the Ground Forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Colonel-General Oleksandr #Syrskyi :

Попри те, що ми зараз контролюємо незначну частину Бахмуту, значення її оборони не втрачає своєї актуальності. Це надає нам можливості входу в місто в разі зміни обстановки. А це неодмінно відбудеться.

@HeliosRunner Incroyable boulot ! ( Tu dors de temps en temps 🤔?)
@HeliosRunner merci pour tout et bon dimanche quand même
@HeliosRunner voilà l'église remise au milieu du village
@HeliosRunner Hi Jéjé toi qui sait beaucoup de chose peux tu me dire c'est quoi les bâtiments aux toits rouges que l'on voit sur toute les vues de Bakhmut au sud oeust et qui ont l'air si précieux pour tout le monde🤔
@Jfm14 c'est simple c'est sur la route pour aller à Ivaniske, c'est tout;
et aussi pour prendre les def UKr a revers sur la colline au sud.
voilà j'ai fait des cartes sur ça il y a qq temps
@HeliosRunner laissons les en mode escargots !!!
@HeliosRunner Ben, y'a même plus de laitues... Reste un désert de pierres...
@HeliosRunner The US moved a lot of Bradleys and Strykers quite fast. The big transport planes were on an around the clock schedule. Hopefully they can get most of this to UKR by end June
@HeliosRunner if I am not wrong arty destruction never reach that level during previous phases, which indicates this time it could way more serious than last September
@HeliosRunner Je viens voir ici, au cas où et que vois-je ? Je suis comme la gamine qui se levait le 25 décembre et découvrait les cadeaux sous le sapin ! 😉 🙏
@HeliosRunner even with that... They held two more weeks than what was already the worse target... Amazing
@HeliosRunner OMG cette photo, ça me fait rire ( ça doit être nerveux) mais ça fait froid dans le dos en même temps 😬
@HeliosRunner
Salut JJ, merci pour le point de situation!
@HeliosRunner As usual, a really good thread. Thanks my friend.