I see a main ingredient of Dunning-Kruger in pronouncements on what jobs will be "transformed" or even "eliminated" by generative A.I.

Lawyer: "Law's more than just generating documents. But I can see it putting a lot of software developers out of work."

Software developers: "Software development's more than just typing code. But I can see it putting a lot of lawyers out of work."

Plumbers: "Ha ha ha ha ha ha etc"

@jasongorman I don't get the meme AI will replace certain jobs at all. I think it might replace 80% of a certain job though (as a software developer, I can see that it might do that for software development). I dont think that's better either.

It will typically replace "junior" work and require more training/experience to do (since you now immediately need to evaluate someone else's work)

@jasongorman Over on Quora, people in my circles keep asking whether a.i. and chatbots will take over their job. Multiple times a day.

I have used ChatGPT and am quite impressed about its ability to answer questions on a range of technical topics, and have been able to implement a few solutions with it. But it isn't perfect, and it cannot be perfect, because it's just a language model: it will repeat human mistakes and won't even realize it.

@jasongorman

I can't see it taking over in my industry, but I do think ChatGPT will put a lot of <LLM Vendors> out of work -- when people experience the inherent problems and limitations designed into these systems, and the inherent difficulties (read: near impossibilities) of just "fixing the problems with a few code changes," as people are accustomed to, with conventionally implemented automation.

😉