cxj ✅Apr 28, 2023
Ika Makimaki

So the WHO is finally saying it out loud:

One in ten covid infections will need long term care.

As a #DnD player, I can tell you this is way more likely than it seems at first.

If infected with covid, and you roll 1 on a 1d10:
Gain a permanent level of exhaustion.

So wear a mask.
Get a decent modifier on your Constitution saving throw against infection.

#CovidIsNotOver

Apr 28, 2023 at 8:26amWeb
Show threadIka MakimakiApr 28, 2023

Do your best to avoid rolling that 1d10.

If you roll it enough, you'll be guaranteed to get a 1.

No one wants that.

Show threadQuincy ⁂Apr 28, 2023
@pezmico well put
Show threadAngelaApr 28, 2023
@pezmico yes, this! All the rpg players I know have been able to 😷 and 💉 properly because they understand this!
Show threadTab CombsApr 28, 2023
@pezmico link to share with cavalier family?
Show threadIka MakimakiApr 28, 2023
@DrTCombs https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1651227079684358151?t=bBk8v8HqNBytEYdidbw_oQ&s=19
World Health Organization (WHO) on Twitter

“"An estimated 1 in 10 infections results in post #COVID19 condition, suggesting that hundreds of millions of people will need longer-term care." -@DrTedros”

Twitter
Show threadTab CombsApr 28, 2023
@pezmico thank you
Show thread💥meta physical deflationist💥Apr 28, 2023
@pezmico link?
Show threadIka MakimakiApr 28, 2023
@glassresistor https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1651227079684358151?t=bBk8v8HqNBytEYdidbw_oQ&s=19
World Health Organization (WHO) on Twitter

“"An estimated 1 in 10 infections results in post #COVID19 condition, suggesting that hundreds of millions of people will need longer-term care." -@DrTedros”

Twitter
Show threadc0c0birdApr 28, 2023
@pezmico
Source:
https://www.who.int/europe/news-room/fact-sheets/item/post-covid-19-condition
"Studies show that around 10–20% of people infected by SARS-CoV-2 may go on to develop symptoms that can be diagnosed as long COVID. "
Post COVID-19 condition (Long COVID)

Show threadRaymondMay 1, 2023

@pezmico Those are technically "good odds" if they just happen once, and has limited impact. However, it's not just COVID by itself.

1d10 for measles. 1d10 for mumps. 1d10 for polio. 1d10 for shingles. 1d10 for breakthrough variants. Finally, 1d1 for rabies.

All those rolls will be the end result of #AntiVax and #AntiMask groups.

Show threadsabikMay 1, 2023
@arem @pezmico
For covid, that's 1d10 per infection, not just once
Show threadJ.H.NoyesMay 1, 2023
@pezmico
This is a low-ball estimate. It was 80% disability at ten years for SARS-CoV-2, with half of those unable to care for themselves. There's no reason to expect SARS-CoV-2 to be any different.