@Popehat why is this so odd to people? This bank is 40 years old. Not ancient, but that’s no predictor of stability, but it’s not like they’re swindling people.
The problem is likely a bunch of VCs and later stage investors pouring poison in the ears of startup leaders (or outright commanding them) and rallying everyone into a run on the bank. When your customers are all startups beholden to investors, you’re fucked if the investors say get out.
@dave_andersen @Popehat I’ve worked at three startups and on several occasions seen financial docs or loans or paychecks or acquisition payouts tied up with SVB. It’s just the default.
And yeah all the investment idiots on Twitter (Sacks) handwringing about this were probably dictating to founders to get balances under $250k on Wednesday.
@jason @Popehat svb actively pitched itself to startups for at least the past 15 yrs. their relationship w/ stripe is not a simple banking one. it's them embedded in the financial health of nearly every startup that signed up for atlas.
questions of stability predictors *must* include the fact that svb was largely used by startups, startups that serviced other startups, VCs that dealt w/ startups, and family offices of wealthy VCs who funded startups.
i know this whole ecosystem pretty well
@jbminn @Popehat oh yeah it’s a huge fucking circle jerk, an Ouroboros of “we’ll juice your editba if you juice ours”, and having a system like that be the monoculture of an entire bank is Bad. I was just pushing back on “hey this bank seems sketch”. It’s sketch because of the system its a part of, rather than something banking-specific it did.
Anyways I guess maybe we all get fucked over again for a while because everyone with money put it in one spot again. Cool.
@jbminn here’s hoping. I know all the blowhards crying wolf about “contagion” just want Powell or Yellen or whoever will listen to drop money from helicopters on them, but it’s hard not to be a bit skittish.
But I finished undergrad and entered employment in Spring ‘08 so this might be a once burned etc thing.
@jason of course. see my last tweet for my experience in this context
there are def some VCs crying today because they have *personal* exposure. they couldn't give two shits abt anyone else.
spring 2009 here, so I very much agree...
my take is that there's a process to deal with bank failures: depositors get $250k each and an IOU to maybe get a few cents on the dollar for their uninsured deposits in a few years
no helicopter money, no making uninsured depositors whole & everyone in the valley learns that bank failure risk is something that's real and that occasionally *they* lose big
@elfprince13 @Popehat to be clear…
Fed raises rates because “inflation”, except no one gives a shit and everyone yells this will make unemployment go up
Free money dries up, startups start to lean on cash
Seeing this, SVB sells bonds to shore up reserves
Bonds underperform because see rate hike above
They need $2B and start to talk about ways to get it
Fuckwits on Sand Hill psst psst to their vassals to pull out cash. I’m sure they could’ve scrounged $2B
$42B run on Thursday
Fin
@Popehat "It appears to me that there was no liquidity issue until a couple of VCs called it," Greene said. "They were irresponsible, and then it became self-fulfilling." #siliconvalley
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2023/03/10/silicon-valley-bank-collapse-how-it-happened.html
I saw SVB earlier and thought
"Oh, typo on SBF."
"#Capitalism is an economic system in which *private* individuals or businesses own capital goods. At the same time, #capitalists employ workers...who only receive wages..."
"#CapitalRisk is the potential of loss of part or all of an investment. It applies to...assets that are *not* subject to a guarantee of full return of original capital."
For some reason, this epic song keeps coming up:
🎙Burn, Baby burn...🎵🎶
#TheTrammps