Marcus Herrmann📢 Paper alert:
"Maximizing the forecasting skill of an ensemble model"
https://academic.oup.com/gji/article/234/1/73/6994524
#doi: 10.1093/gji/ggad020
An #ensemble model combines a set of (#probabilistic) #forecasts. To obtain model weights that maximize its skill, we use multivariate #LogisticRegression. This ensemble strategy is superior to weighting forecasts equally or according to their individual skill – as demonstrated for operational #earthquake #forecasting in Italy (15 years of data).
