One thing I've been noticing in my correspondence is how many people think inflation is still running wild; the big deceleration in the 2nd half of 2022 hasn't broken through to public consciousness 1/
Several reasons for this. Too many media reports focus on yoy inflation, so miss the big turn. Traditional core inflation still reflecting rent increases from a year ago. And asymmetric reporting: breathless coverage of rising inflation, disinflation not so much 2/
But anyway, the truth is striking. Here's 3-month "supercore" excluding food energy shelter and used cars: 3/
What about wages? Running hotter than eve of the pandemic. But here's a longer view, using nonsupervisory wages (longer time series) 4/
@pkrugman I’m hoping that the elimination of non-compete requirements will fuel wage growth as workers move to competitors for better wages.