Mastodawn

Erin Reed Dec 30, 2022

This map saw a few changes. Mississippi has increased in risk after the Governor has come out and made anti-trans legislation a priority. Previously, Mississippi's anti-trans legislation could not escape committee. This means that Mississippi is now high risk.

Erin Reed Dec 30, 2022

New Hampshire is another state that moved up. Recently, a NH republican proposed one of the worst anti-trans laws I have ever seen - a ban to 21. I still think that it is unlikely to pass, but given New Hampshire's partisan breakdown, they could be at risk of lesser laws.

@ErinInTheMorn NH is like Florida 10 years ago, sliding to the hard right. New England Liberal Sensibilities tend to cave into Social Conservativism/ independent voters before collapsing into AltRight Fascism.

Afterall, the NH Snowbirds all fly to Florida for the winter, then fly north with a case of covid and bigotry.

@MoonshotErin @ErinInTheMorn Two thoughts on this: 1) NH's recent midterm elections resulted in a shocking near split in the state legislature's lower chamber, so things are looking up in a sense. I think NH and PA have two of the closest margins of state legislatures at the moment. Liberals are fighting very hard in a super gerrymandered map! 2) The Free State movement, in which libertarians have moved here by the 1000s has poisoned our state to a point. 1/2

@MoonshotErin @ErinInTheMorn There are freak RWers that I like to think wouldn't win w/o the libertarian anti-gov vote boosting R candidates generally, undoing independents' swing toward rationality. I'm not even going to address the undeserved popularity of our Govr. He could be a lot worse but there's no objective reason he should be winning by nearly 60-40 margins every two years, ⬆️ing all Rs. That makes me question the intelligence of all those independents who vote for him. Haha Sigh. 2/2

Erin🏳️‍⚧️👩‍🚀🚀🌔

@FluffyCowBird I noticed that 60/40 split in RW controlled state always in the R's favor. I feel a big part of this is gerrymandering and other disenfranchisement

As for Independents, many I've met, are basically always vote R that don't want to admit they vote that way yet enjoy playing both sides of the fence and willfully chose to be low information consumers (ie repeat talking points).

This 'waffling' makes them easy picking for slick talking worm tongued far right media.

@MoonshotErin That's a good point about "independents in name only", but I don't think it fully explains the 60/40-ish split in Gov. Sununu's favor. That's a statewide race, so gerrymandering isn't a factor. But unlike other state-wide races, such as US Sen. seats, this one tilts R in such an extreme way. I think it's probably to do w/ Sununu's father who worked for (grifted off of) GHWBush's administration, and was also super-popular in NH for some reason. I don't get it.

I remember when I loudly stranger dangered John Sununu as a kid at a clam bake in front of my parents and everyone and all he wanted was a handshake with a kid photo op.😅 1987/88 I think

The Sununu's have a brand in New Hampshire and name recognition. They sold something of an old familiar like an affable uncle that sells furniture and wears old funny smelling suits to voters. And NH Voters are a lot like FL voters in older communities like the Villages

@MoonshotErin Somehow I totally missed this story earlier. That's amazing! Yeah, he does seem like he means well, I have to give him that. haha He "comes off" GREAT if a bit vanilla and non-committal. He toed a "pro-choice Republican" line really craftily, right up until he signed a restrictive new abortion law put up by our last state legislature. Oh, well! Cover blown. haha

@FluffyCowBird The Fox is in the Hen house and the Rooster is dead behind the rock.

@MoonshotErin OMG So true! The rooster has been dead for a while, though, I think. Someone's been playing Weekend at Bernie's on us...

I suspect the news media is too overworked to detect a dead rooster when they see one, perhaps? If only fewer things could be on fire at once, that would be ideal.

@FluffyCowBird That's the point, isn't it?

Everything everywhere happening all at once, provides good distraction and cover because we're too busy responding to the first dozen fires, we're not able to respond to the other five dozen fires.

We're exhausted from trying to save the chickens, we didn't even notice the fox also burned down the barn, set the farmer's home ablaze and ran off with farm dog.

@FluffyCowBird What I mean by the 60/40 split is that I hear it so often, it feels like a fake number/stat to me now. Like hearing the election results of a sham election in a russian breakaway state or some 3rd world dictator with a starving population.

I don't know why it sounds wrong, or how to explain it, but my instinct tells me something misleading or corrupt is present.

@MoonshotErin I think you make a very good point also about waffling folks being easily manipulated. I know people like that, too, who just believe the first thing they hear and don't seem to have a "spidey sense" that tells them when something is likely Russian propaganda in disguise, which so much of Faux News has been for years now. It's so blatant. It's also not that hard to tell which politicians are themselves manipulated/bribed by outside influences, Russian or not.

@FluffyCowBird I remember a report about computer security where it said something like 70% of people that received training to be aware of social engineering attacks still fell for the social engineering attacks (been a while so correct me if I'm wrong)

So no one is immune, imo, but some do kinda set themselves up to it and now we have to be even more vigilant due to technology outpacing our brains. At least with trump, he didn't bother to hide the con under more than an inch of golf turfgrass