Philip BumpYouGov, God bless them, took Twitter survey questions and ran them as real, scientific polls. And guess what! Twitter polls are not accurate measures of opinion. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/12/16/twitter-polls-arent-real-life-part-two/?itid=ap_philipbump
Toxteth O'Grady@pbump Why am I not surprised. Now YouGov will get banned by Musk...
Lilith@toxtethogrady @pbump people actually believing social media polls are accurate is not surprising. Social media has ruined our society. These extremist have always been around, social media amplified their views and gave them an audience. Didn’t we decide long ago we didn’t want a monarchy in this country? Yet, we give all the rich some form of celebrity only because they’re rich. Not because they are decent individuals to honor and respect. Americas honors greed.
@Lb2022 @pbump They believe only those social media polls that confirm their previous thinking. I should note that YouGov has not always been regarded as an A-plus pollster, but they do a decent enough job that if they say so, it's believable. In the same category is SurveyMonkey, whose online survey methodology polls tens of thousands of people but comes up with results worthy of the Literary Digest...
@Lb2022 @pbump While we're talking pollsters, I've always been skeptical of surveys of "likely voters" versus "registered voters". It's easier to achieve accuracy with "likely voters" when interest in an election is low, but when interest is high, the "likely" model always seems to miss. At the moment, the "likely" model skews more conservative than the "registered" model - which explains how Biden polls ahead of Trump among "registered" and behind among "likely"...
@toxtethogrady @pbump I’ve always been skeptical of polls. I do not believe they are a true reflection of the masses. People will conform to what they believe they should say or how they will be perceived. Rarely will we have an independent poll where people have more than 2 party choices. This system is designed for the lesser of 2 evils model. Forever divided.
@toxtethogrady @pbump The sad case the American voter continues to find themselves in every election was created to avoid a We, the People majority party. This 2 party system uses a legitimate 3rd party, usually backed by a masses of the people movement, as a fall guy. When one side loses, they will claim votes were taken from the party. What better way to avoid a 3rd party run than to demonize them. Don’t get me started on the electoral college and gerrymandering.
@Lb2022 @pbump Third parties are remarkably flash-in-the-pan. Ross Perot was the last serious run at an alternative, and he got 19% of the vote but no electors. John Anderson, who once looked competitive when he was polling 21%, got less than 7. The electorate, despite protestations, always comes home to Number 1 or Number 2.
HeyManYourHairsOnFire@pbump Even if they were, making decisions by poll is a pretty ridiculous management style
Andrew Davies@UrHairItsOnFire @pbump Definately bad leadership. Even worse to use them to hide behind when he makes decisions that he knows are controversial.
RickG@pbump Twitter polls are "not accurate measures" is putting it mildly . Given that professionally performed polls suggest an error of 3-5 percentage points, 16-18 percent is miles apart. The fact that you were inclined to follow Musk to take the poll is a huge bias. I guess we all knew his polls were fraught with error, seeing it in stark values is a real eye opener. #elonmusktwitter
HistoPol (#HP) 🏴 🇺🇸 🏴"The people have spoken."
Read:
The #TwitterTrinityHathSpoken, i.e. #Elmo: me, myself, and I. 😉
Bethankit HumsThat's ok, because everyone just happily believes that Twitter polls are realistic. 🤷
@pbump I would say that Twitter polls are not even accurate measures of what Twitter users think. (Edit: I see the article says this.)
Maybe representative of what the followers of the poster thing. But I'm doubtful of even that.