Follow the money.

Twitter borrowed $13 billion as part of the $44 billion purchase price.

Annual interest payments are estimated at $1.2 billion. That is more money than Twitter earned in 2021.

When Federal Reserve raises interest rates, the yield on the loans rises.

Guess what the Fed did this week? Raised interest rates.

Twitter is in serious trouble, and I won't be surprised when they go bankrupt.

@RedTRaccoon
I think finding who his backers are will shine the light on his intentions. Authoritarians don’t appreciate the public having unfettered communication.
@nancyann @RedTRaccoon hope this helps:
@Alexandra @RedTRaccoon
Not even close to $44B, but the largest on this list is a Saudi prince.
@nancyann @RedTRaccoon indeed. Puts a spin on things! Especially since that Twitter employee was found guilty of selling info from Twitter to the Saudis.
@RedTRaccoon Can you buy stocks related to Mastodon?

@Kansascityfish

Interesting question - like the people who sold the mining equipment in the gold rush. I guess if you could find out if there were any publicly traded IT companies that host Mastodon instances for others, that could be one way to do this.

@RedTRaccoon

@RedTRaccoon I don't understand how it was even an option to saddle the company he was buying with debt on the purchase. That's backwards af.

@MayWeAllRise @RedTRaccoon Remember that he locked himself in a purchase agreement with Twitter that he would’ve had to pay $1bn to get out of (and even tried via the courts and failed).

Truly extravagant business prowess on display here. /s

@EvanDarwin @RedTRaccoon My confusion is why he was able to put debt on the company instead of himself.

@MayWeAllRise @RedTRaccoon It seems to be part of the purchase agreement; however this is not my area of expertise, so I’m not sure if this is common or not.

🔗 https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1418091/000119312522120474/d310843ddefa14a.htm

DEFA14A

@RedTRaccoon @EvanDarwin It is. I just don't understand how that's even an option.

@MayWeAllRise @RedTRaccoon

That's called a leveraged buyout. You can do it if a bank is willing to take the risk and lend the money. In this case, the deal was bad for the banks, which are already underwater on the loans, and good for Musk, who gets to shift $13 billion of his losses to the banks if Twitter goes bankrupt.

As a business decision, it was terrible, because the rising interest rate means that Twitter is saddled with debt payments far in excess of its earnings.

@RedTRaccoon Musk is searching for investors and the Saudis are already in, no?
@RedTRaccoon Ooooh so that's why Elmo was whining about the Federal Reserve being the true cause of ruination instead of his galactically stupid decision-making.
@RedTRaccoon won’t Peter Thiel bail Musk out and keep Twitter alive and turn it into Truth Social?
@RedTRaccoon I read that one of Elon's backers is a Russian oligarch.
@RedTRaccoon I think he goes around and buys his debt for .30 cents on every dollar and the lenders take what they can get from him while they can since it was a poor investment in the first place.
@RedTRaccoon I'm really rooting for it! To collapse.
@RedTRaccoon Maths is maths (or math as they call it in US)...numbers are numbers and sums are sums...there'll be no escaping from them this time.