Mastodawn

TheGentYYC Dec 4, 2022

#Mastodon can be seen as 'a new way of doing things' for Twitter emigres. Another word for that is #Innovation. If we want to know how populations adopt innovations we refer to the #InnovationAdoptionCurve.

Throw rocks all day at those remaining otherwise decent Twitter folks that've not yet found their way to Masto but according to #TheCurve it's no mystery why: the needs of the #EarlyMajority are not yet met (it's the same for climate stuff) /1

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TheGentYYC Dec 4, 2022

When #Mastodon acquires #EarlyMajority the #DeathOfTwitter is only a matter of time.

Status as of today: the #MastodonPioneers (Innovators) came here #PreBirdSiteMeltdown & built this world. Meltdown strikes & early #BirdSiteEmigres have arrived (#EarlyAdopters).

The wide majority of decent Bird Site humans (#EarlyMajority) remain on Bird Site, awaiting a clear alternative complete with #WholeProductDevelopment & #WellEstablishedReferences. /2

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TheGentYYC Dec 4, 2022

Seize the #EarlyMajority and Bird Site is all but dead because the #LateMajority's prime motivation is #FOMO (fear of missing out/getting left behind) and can reliably be counted on to grudgingly follow the Early Majority. As for the #Laggards nobody anywhere should spare them a thought for any reason.

Thus Bird site's transition to dank backwater of racism/hatred/ignorance is complete & it will not be able to sustain itself. #BirdSite will die /3

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City Techie

Dec 4, 2022

@TheGentYYC To get to the Early Majority stage, my guess is one of the big guys, Microsoft, Google or both, is likely to adopt ActivityPub (against the will of those originally here prior to Musk's takeover of the bird site) and implement it as part of their existing mail/social products that way corporate email addresses automatically become fediverse handles. Tumblr, Flickr + new for-profit startups will also adopt the protocol with niche products.

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City Techie

@TheGentYYC There will be a squeeze for the existing fediverse players. That's why I think there's a race against the clock for the Mastodon developers to implement the missing features and grow fast before the big guys swoop in for a piece of the action and before the competing closed platforms like Post catch up.