Dmitri AlperovitchNov 12, 2022

I don’t understand why people expect the offensives in this war to stop just because winter is coming. Both sides are perfectly capable of continuing operations in cold weather. In fact, Russia invaded (and captured the territory they are now losing) in the midst of winter.

IF there is an operational pause, it will be because they need to regroup and rebuild forces, not because the weather is turning

Show threadDmitri AlperovitchNov 12, 2022
The place to watch now is Donbas. Russia will likely move some of the forces they pulled out of Kherson there to continue their multi-month and so far futile assault on Bakhmut. The Ukrainians will also likely reposition their forces from the south into Donbas. Northern Luhansk oblast is where they can likely make the most progress in the near future
Show threadnadin brzezinski
@dmitri @kdvncm there is noise of divisions within Russia. We may be getting closer to at least, intermediaries, diplomatic tract. But there is a very real risk of civil war within Russia.
Nov 13, 2022 at 6:57pmWeb
Show threadnadin brzezinskiNov 13, 2022
@dmitri @kdvncm wrote this earlier today…https://t.me/c/1799103592/1912
Show threadKeith 🇺🇸🇪🇺🇮🇪🇺🇦Nov 14, 2022

@Nadinabbott

Is this the correct telegram link? It says I don't have authorization to read that message.

Show threadnadin brzezinskiNov 14, 2022
@kdvncm yes, private channel, sorry
Show threadnadin brzezinskiNov 14, 2022
@kdvncm I tend to apply to join. I also tend to get in, and save I am a fly on the wall
Show threadKeith 🇺🇸🇪🇺🇮🇪🇺🇦Nov 14, 2022

@Nadinabbott

I'm not ready to delve into telegram yet. Don't really trust it either.