Kracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
1. Thread on TN election 2021 results. Let's start with postal votes. Out of 489699 postal votes, DMK+ secured 62.13%, ADMK+ secured 28.3%, NTK secured 4.01%, AMMK+ secured 2.18% and MNM secured 1.62% of votes. Data: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1x8rkmc6kyi_UorLcSaQ5ufbHC7drF0SHkpXslGTEzlo/
#TNElections2021 #TNElectionResults
tn_2021_election_candidates

tn_2021_election_candidates O.S.N.,Candidate,Party,EVM Votes,Postal Votes,Total Votes,% of Votes,constituency,constituency_id,pk,District,Constituency Type,position 1,GOVINDARAJAN T.J,Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam,125001,1451,126452,56.94,Gummidipoondi,1,1-1,Thiruvallur,General,1 2,DILLIY K.M,Desiya...

Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
2. % of Vote Share by Alliance: DMK+: 45.6%, ADMK+: 39.5%, NTK: 6.57%, AMMK+: 2.87%, MNM+: 2.75%, NOTA: 0.75%, Others: 2.01%. Note: Data is from https://results.eci.gov.in/Result2021/partywiseresult-S22.htm, and there may be a discrepancy with other data sources like Wikipedia or media outlets. #TNElectionResults2021
Election Commission of India

Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்
3. Out of 6 seats, VCK won 4 seats with an average of 42.58% of votes in each seats. 2 reserved and 2 general seats. #TNElections2021 #TNElectionResults2021
May 4, 2021 at 9:52pmMoa
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
4. DMK alliance party wise % of votes polled - DMK: 46.67%, CPI: 43.78%, VCK: 42.58%, INC: 41.53%, IUML: 38.63, CPI(M): 35.97%. ADMK alliance party wise % votes polled: AIADMK: 40.23%, PMK: 37.65%, BJP: 34.46%. #TNElections2021 #TNElectionResults2021
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
5. Seventeen candidates contested in each constituency, and 77 candidates competed in the Karur constituency and highest in the election. #TNElections2021 #TNElectionResults2021
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
6. Only two independent candidates polled double-digit vote percentage and one secured deposit. Hari Nadar polled 18.54% of votes(37727) in the Alangulam constituency, and Bala Krishnan secured 13.41% of votes(23771). #TNElections2021 #TNElectionResults2021
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
7. Next, let's move on to the closely fought seats - 2% victory margin, 32 seats - 13.67% seats. In 8 seats, the winning margin was less than 1000 votes (< 0.6%). Thiyagarayanagar: 137, Modakkurichi: 281, Tenkasi: 370. #TNElectionResults2021 #TNElections2021
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
8. Out of 32 seats, DMK+ won on 17 seats. Out of 10 constituencies in Coimbatore, five constituencies were closely fought. ADMK+ won all the seats. Out of five constituencies in Tenkasi, three were closely fought, and ADMK+ won one and DMK+ won two seats. #TNElectionResults2021
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
9. DMK+ didn't win a single seat in Dharampuri(3 seats) and Coimbatore districts(10 seats). In Dharampuri, ADMK+ had a lead of 13.61% votes, and in Coimbatore, 6% lead. MNM+ scored 10.55% in the district(4-5 times higher than party average and highest for the party in a district)
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
10. Out of 38 districts, DMK+ scored less than 45% votes in 13 districts. Sivagangai district, NTK, and AMMK+ scored 11.2% and 11.99%, respectively, and DMK won two out of three seats with 38.28% of votes - the only district where these parties secured their highest vote share.
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
11. ADMK+ polled 2% higher than average in reserved constituencies. NTK's scored slightly(0.3%) higher than their average in reserved constituencies. MNM polled 3.23% in general constituencies compared to scheduled caste constituencies, 1.43% of votes. #TNElectionResults2021
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
12. Let's move on to NTK voting patterns(6.5% to 7%). Six out of the top ten NTK candidates with the highest votes are women. After Seeman, Velraj secured the highest % of votes, 16.42(deposit= 16.5%) in Thoothukudi. #TNElections2021 #TNElectionResults
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
13. What's their avg vote against the winning party's in those constituencies? When the INC wins a seat, NTK gets their best average - 15286 and lowest when PMK wins - 9153. When DMK wins, it's 13600 and 11689 when AIADMK wins. #TNElections2021 #TNElectionResults
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
14. NTK performed better against CPM(7.75%) and INC(7.44) - 1% higher than the average of 6.5% and performs poorly against PMK - 5.93%. Note: Ignored intersection other parties for simplicity. #TNElections2021 #TNElectionResults2021
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
15. NTK's top three districts for votes are - Sivagangai, Thiruvallur, and Thotthukudi, and the lowest vote-getting districts are Dharmapuri, Krishnagiri, and Salem. #TNElections2021 #TNElectionResults2021
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 4, 2021
15.1: More analysis, raw data and a long form of writing coming later.
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 8, 2021
16. Analysis on women candidates. 405, (8.35%) women candidates contested in this election. Twelve women candidates won - seven from reserved constituencies and five from the general constituency. DMK - 6, AIADMK - 3, BJP -2, and INC - 1. #TNElections2021
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 8, 2021
17. ADMK and DMK alliances fielded women in 32 constituencies. In 30 constituencies, the number of women participation was above 8.33% (> average). The highest women participation was in Gudiyatham - 46.27%, six women and seven men. No constituency with 50% women participation.
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 8, 2021
18. The participation of women candidates significantly goes up when recognized parties field women candidates. 36 out of 383 candidates in the Chennai district were women candidates.
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 8, 2021
19. PMK(1/23) and INC(1/25) each fielded one woman candidate. PMK candidate, Thilagabama in Athoor scored 13.5%, and Vijaya Dharani in Vilavancode secured 52.2%. Independent women and men scored a similar percentage of votes except for Hari N in Alangulam.
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 8, 2021
20. Reserved constituencies(16%) witnessed twice as many candidates as women candidates than general constituencies(8.3%). NTK fielded 80% of women in the reserved constituencies. (note: the image count does not add to 117 for women candidates). #TNElections2021
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 8, 2021
21. The ADMK alliance fielded nine women candidates than six from DMK in SC constituencies. The ADMK alliance field 11 women candidates compared to 7 women candidates in general constituencies. In ST constituencies, ADMK fielded one woman candidate.
Show threadKracekumar | கிரேஸ்குமார்May 8, 2021
22. Next about AMMK. In 32 constituencies, AMMK secured more than 5% of votes. In twenty constituencies(> 2% diff), AMMK votes scored more votes than losers' differences. DMK alliance won in 14 constituencies, and the ADMK alliance won 6 constituencies.