Entirety unrelated: at which point will the brand of #30under30 and #fobes be so tainted by their bad luck of picking fraudsters and #nepobabies that being on the list will be perceived as a red flag? How
many bad picks does it take to discredit the picker?
Lars Trieloff (@[email protected])
@[email protected] https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-another-forbes-30-under-30-mem?r=TGFyc1RyaWVsb2Zm https://manifold.markets/calm/will-any-new-member-of-the-2023-for?r=TGFyc1RyaWVsb2Zm (at about 50% - this leaves a one in 60 chance that one particular “under 30” will get in trouble)