1 #TorstenSlok, chief economist at Apollo Global Managements, says these are the โ€œtop three macro questions for investment committees todayโ€:
1) Middle East: What are the implications if some tanks reach critical levels somewhere in the world, including #distillate fuels in the US?
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1 #TorstenSlok, chief economist at Apollo Global Markets: Nasdaq implied #volatility relative to the #S&P500 has spiked to its highest level in many years. The jump reflects #investors demanding far more protection on #AI names than on the broad #market โ€ฆ ๐Ÿงต
1 #TorstenSlok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management: โ€œWith the three largest passive #S&P500 #funds now holding more than $2.6 trillion combined, and Vanguard's #VOO alone crossing $1 trillion this month โ€ฆ ๐Ÿงต
3 #TorstenSlok, chief economist at Apollo Global #Markets: โ€ฆ and there are not yet signs that #AI is boosting #revenues or #profitmargins outside the #Mag7.
2 #TorstenSlok, chief economist at Apollo Global #Markets: #profitmargins are rising for the #Mag7 but flat for the #S&P493. The bottom line is that #Fed hikes and higher all-in #yields continue to bite for #companies with weaker credit fundamentals โ€ฆ ๐Ÿงต
1 #TorstenSlok, chief economist at Apollo Global Markets: #revenue per employee is rising for the #Mag 7 and falling for #small-cap #companies. ๐Ÿงต #AI
1 #TorstenSlok, chief economist Apollo Global Management: The closure of the #StraitofHormuz is increasingly showing up as a #working-capital problem for #US #corporates. With limited traffic thru the Strait over the past 3 months, supply-chain bottlenecks are rising, delivery times are slowing โ€ฆ ๐Ÿงต
1 #TorstenSlok, chief economist at Apollo Global Markets: The surge in new #US #businessformation is being fueled by #AI and #largelanguagemodels, which are dramatically reducing the cost and complexity of launching a company. ๐Ÿงต
1 #TorstenSlok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management: three Forces are Pushing #Rates Higher Across the #Curve 1 - Front-end rates are under upward pressure because #inflation is higher for longer. ๐Ÿงต #yields #bonds #bondyields
#TorstenSlok, chief economist, Apollo Global Management: the #S&P500 #IT sector's share of total index #capex has surged to a record-high 35%, as #hyperscalers race to build out #AI #infrastructure at unprecedented scale