According to #TorstenSlok, the chief economist at Apollo Global Management, the current #AI-driven #marketbubble is more stretched than the #dotcom frenzy of the late 1990s. Slok compares the 12-month forward #pricetoearnings (P/E) #ratios of the top ten companies in the S&P 500 against the rest of the index, showing that the #PEratios of the top ten companies are #evenhigher than they were at the peak of the dot-com bubble. https://gizmodo.com/wall-streets-ai-bubble-is-worse-than-the-1999-dot-com-bubble-warns-a-top-economist-2000630487?AIagents.at #AIagent #AI #ML #NLP #LLM #GenAI
Wall Street’s AI Bubble Is Worse Than the 1999 Dot-com Bubble, Warns a Top Economist

A chief economist at investment giant Apollo says the top ten AI stocks are more detached from reality than the tech titans of the 1990s were. His chart is a stark warning that history is about to repeat itself.

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2 Apollo Global Management chief economist #TorstenSlok: Looking at #foreign participation in #30-year #Treasury #auctions shows a downward trend in recent months.
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1 Apollo Global Management chief economist #TorstenSlok: Indirect bidding in #Treasury #auctions refers to bids submitted on behalf of #ForeignInstitutions. These bidders don’t participate directly, but instead have their bids placed by intermediaries—hence “indirect." #USTreasuries #bonds 🧵
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#TorstenSlok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management: After #LiberationDay, the #dollar has disconnected from #interestrate differentials. #USD #forex #tariffs #currencies #markets
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3 #TorstenSlok, chief economist, Apollo Global Management: “The bottom line is that #inflation will increase significantly for the #product categories where #China is the main producer of that good, likely including #fireworks
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2 #TorstenSlok, chief economist, Apollo Global Management: Similarly, there are many different categories of #products that are #imported into the #US where #demand is #inelastic, and #China is the only provider of that product. 🧵 #tariffs #tradewar #trade
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1 #TorstenSlok, chief economist, Apollo Global Management: “Will There Be #Fireworks on the #4thofJuly? Estimates show that more than 90% of fireworks used in the #UnitedStates are imported, and 95% of fireworks imported into the #US come from #China 🧵 #tariffs #tradewar #trade
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Data from the #Fed shows that a record-high share of #households are only making the minimum payment on their #creditcards - #TorstenSlok, chief economist, Apollo GlobalManagement.
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Chart from #TorstenSlok, chief #economist at Apollo Global Management showing a sharp in #US #corporate #capex #spending plans.
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4 “ … growing #supplychain challenges with potential #shortages in #US #stores within a few weeks, higher US #inflation & lower #tourism to the US. We reiterate our view that if current policies do not change, then the probability of a US #recession in 2025 is 90%” - #TorstenSlok, chief economist …🧵
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