The #TheStudyofWar assessed the event as the first instance of “little green men” operating near a #NATO state in the context of #russia’s recently intensified “Phase Zero” campaign – a condition-setting phase for a possible future NATO-russia conflict.

“Tomahawks will not be a silver bullet. But, the system does present operational capabilities that the Ukrainians will need to weaken Russian logistics,” says #TheStudyofWar’s George Barros

#Ukraine has an operational requirement of striking #Russia’s intermediate and deep rear.”

#IranUpdate,
meaning #Syria, #NorthernSyria, #Gaza, #EasternSector, #WesternSector, #Lebanon
December 29, 2024
by #TheStudyofWar

7 maps for overview

#TheStudyOfWar reports attack from Belarus still unlikely, new Russian trenches in south/north of occupied areas likely hard to hold, partisans active, Russian attacks west of Donetsk expensive and futile https://twitter.com/thestudyofwar?s=21&t=L9lj1AXNUrPPhCJ449kcMg
ISW (@TheStudyofWar) / Twitter

The Institute for the Study of War is a policy research organization focused on U.S. national security. | [email protected]

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